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Sha Tin · 2025-09-14 · 22:05

Race 2

Class 5 1400m Course B 14 runners

Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2025-09-14 was Class 5 over 1400m. FIGHT TIME, ridden by P N Wong and trained by D J Hall, won by 1/2, with CASHISCASH second and ONLY U third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.1 favourite ONLY U finished 3rd.

Result

Official · 1.21.40
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 6 FIGHT TIME Closed strongly V 1.21.40 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) P N Wong · D J Hall 13 7.2 1/2
2 5 CASHISCASH Closed strongly L Hewitson · D J Whyte 1 8.8 1/2
3 1 ONLY U Closed strongly CP/XB1/TT- Z Purton · B Crawford 12 2.1 1-3/4
4 9 PANDA LEGEND V/TT R Kingscote · W Y So 6 24.0 1-3/4
5 14 GANGNAM STAR Closed strongly TT H Bentley · P C Ng 3 107.0 2
6 4 ORIENTAL SURPRISE CP/TT L Ferraris · D A Hayes 10 17.0 2
7 12 MR GOOD VIBES Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · D J Hall 7 52.0 2-3/4
8 8 HE WAS ME Led early B/TT M L Yeung · A S Cruz 2 22.0 3
8 13 STRONGEST BOY Closed strongly B/TT M Chadwick · J Richards 9 42.0 3
10 10 DECRELOT CP-/TT K De Melo · D A Hayes 11 44.0 3-1/4
11 2 EVERYONE'S CLASSIC TT K C Leung · F C Lor 4 75.0 4-1/2
12 11 KA YING POWER B-/H- B Avdulla · J Size 14 25.0 5-1/2
13 7 VERBIER V/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes 8 6.6 8
14 3 JUMBO FORTUNE B/TT J Orman · C S Shum 5 13.0 8-1/2

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. FIGHT TIME2. CASHISCASH+0.5L3. ONLY U+1.75L4. PANDA LEGEND+1.75L5. GANGNAM STAR+2L6. ORIENTAL SURPRISE+2L7. MR GOOD VIBES+2.75L8. HE WAS ME+3L8. STRONGEST BOY+3L10. DECRELOT+3.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick ONLY U (23.7%) finished 3rd — the winner FIGHT TIME was rated #4. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 ONLY U 23.7% 4.21 3
2 5 CASHISCASH 13.0% 7.68 2
3 7 VERBIER 12.2% 8.16 13
4 6 FIGHT TIME 8.6% 11.70 1
5 8 HE WAS ME 7.3% 13.67 8
6 4 ORIENTAL SURPRISE 6.3% 15.77 6
7 3 JUMBO FORTUNE 5.8% 17.39 14
8 9 PANDA LEGEND 4.6% 21.94 4
9 12 MR GOOD VIBES 4.6% 21.94 7
10 13 STRONGEST BOY 4.2% 23.90 8
11 11 KA YING POWER 3.7% 26.78 12
12 14 GANGNAM STAR 2.3% 43.21 5
13 2 EVERYONE'S CLASSIC 2.1% 47.78 11
14 10 DECRELOT 1.6% 63.37 10
ONLY UCASHISCASHVERBIERFIGHT TIME — wonHE WAS MEORIENTAL SURPRISEJUMBO FORTUNEPANDA LEGENDMR GOOD VIBESSTRONGEST BOYKA YING POWERGANGNAM STAREVERYONE'S CLASSICDECRELOT

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

6 72

PLACE

1 14

5 21

6 24.5

QUINELLA

5,6 402

QUINELLA PLACE

1,5 44.5

1,6 43.5

5,6 117.5

FORECAST

6,5 814

TIERCE

6,5,1 2,481

TRIO

1,5,6 230

FIRST 4

1,5,6,9 768

QUARTET

6,5,1,9 26,686

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE

10/5 129

10/6 1,121.5

1ST DOUBLE TRIO

2,4,10/1,5,6 7,400