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Sha Tin · 2025-09-14 · 22:05

Race 3

Class 4 1200m 10 runners

Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2025-09-14 was Class 4 over 1200m. BLAZING WIND, ridden by Z Purton and trained by C S Shum, won by HD, with DAILY TROPHY second and SIGHT HAPPY third. Victory came as the 2.8 favourite.

Result

Official · 1.09.50
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 1 BLAZING WIND B/TT 1.09.50 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · C S Shum 4 2.8 HD
2 6 DAILY TROPHY TT L Hewitson · C Fownes 3 6.6 HD
3 3 SIGHT HAPPY B B Avdulla · D A Hayes 10 14.0 1-3/4
4 9 VIEW ALL THINGS XB1/TT2 M Chadwick · W K Mo 9 22.0 1-3/4
5 5 JOLLY COMPANION CP/TT P N Wong · K L Man 5 4.1 2-1/4
6 7 MEEPMEEP B-/E/PC2/TT A Badel · J Size 8 16.0 3-3/4
7 8 HANDSOME BLOND P-/E/TT M F Poon · C H Yip 7 57.0 4-1/4
8 4 GIMME FIVE B K Teetan · F C Lor 6 4.3 6
9 2 TAI VICTORY SR/TT J Orman · M Newnham 1 47.0 6-3/4
10 10 BEAUTY FORMULA CP/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 2 86.0 8-3/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. BLAZING WIND2. DAILY TROPHY+0.2L3. SIGHT HAPPY+1.75L4. VIEW ALL THINGS+1.75L5. JOLLY COMPANION+2.25L6. MEEPMEEP+3.75L7. HANDSOME BLOND+4.25L8. GIMME FIVE+6L9. TAI VICTORY+6.75L10. BEAUTY FORMULA+8.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick BLAZING WIND (28.9%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 BLAZING WIND 28.9% 3.46 1
2 4 GIMME FIVE 22.0% 4.55 8
3 5 JOLLY COMPANION 17.1% 5.84 5
4 3 SIGHT HAPPY 13.5% 7.41 3
5 6 DAILY TROPHY 7.0% 14.23 2
6 7 MEEPMEEP 4.1% 24.68 6
7 9 VIEW ALL THINGS 3.2% 31.68 4
8 10 BEAUTY FORMULA 1.7% 57.74 10
9 2 TAI VICTORY 1.4% 70.67 9
10 8 HANDSOME BLOND 1.1% 93.02 7
BLAZING WIND — wonGIMME FIVEJOLLY COMPANIONSIGHT HAPPYDAILY TROPHYMEEPMEEPVIEW ALL THINGSBEAUTY FORMULATAI VICTORYHANDSOME BLOND

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 28

PLACE

1 15

3 30

6 16.5

QUINELLA

1,6 98

QUINELLA PLACE

1,3 69

1,6 36.5

3,6 87

FORECAST

1,6 146

TIERCE

1,6,3 1,094

TRIO

1,3,6 345

FIRST 4

1,3,6,9 991

QUARTET

1,6,3,9 11,670

All pools (1 more)

2ND DOUBLE

6/1 495.5

6/6 153