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Sha Tin · 2025-09-14 · 13:01

Race 1

Class 5 1400m Course B 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.21.43
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 10 MY FLYING ANGEL Closed strongly B 1.21.43 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · F C Lor 3 8.8 1/2
2 4 CIRCUIT FIERY Closed strongly PC/TT Z Purton · W Y So 7 2.3 1/2
3 2 WINDICATOR FAMILY Closed strongly V P N Wong · D J Hall 1 9.7 2-3/4
4 12 BRAVE OF FRIENDS Closed strongly B-/XB2/TT R Kingscote · D J Whyte 10 109.0 3-1/2
5 3 TEAM HAPPY Closed strongly B/TT C L Chau · P C Ng 2 5.5 3-3/4
6 13 FAIRY HORSE Closed strongly SB/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes 13 20.0 4
7 5 COLONEL Led early TT K De Melo · J Richards 4 91.0 4-1/4
8 9 MANYTHANKS FOREVER V/TT D Probert · W Y So 12 72.0 4-1/4
9 11 THE WAY WE WIN BR-/B/TT H Bentley · J Richards 11 38.0 4-3/4
10 7 EURO ROCKS B/TT M F Poon · C H Yip 6 15.0 5-1/4
11 14 LAPRAS BO/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo 5 20.0 6
12 1 NIGHT PUROSANGUE CP B Avdulla · D A Hayes 9 9.9 6-1/4
13 8 ISLAND GOLDEN TT C Y Ho · K L Man 8 18.0 7-1/4
14 6 MAGIC COMBO CP/TT J Orman · C S Shum 14 83.0 11-1/2

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2025-09-14 was Class 5 over 1400m. MY FLYING ANGEL, ridden by A Badel and trained by F C Lor, won by 1/2, with CIRCUIT FIERY second and WINDICATOR FAMILY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.3 favourite CIRCUIT FIERY finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. MY FLYING ANGEL—2. CIRCUIT FIERY+0.5L3. WINDICATOR FAMILY+2.75L4. BRAVE OF FRIENDS+3.5L5. TEAM HAPPY+3.75L6. FAIRY HORSE+4L7. COLONEL+4.25L8. MANYTHANKS FOREVER+4.25L9. THE WAY WE WIN+4.75L10. EURO ROCKS+5.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick CIRCUIT FIERY (40.3%) finished 2nd — the winner MY FLYING ANGEL was rated #5. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 4 CIRCUIT FIERY 40.3% 2.48 2
2 3 TEAM HAPPY 10.6% 9.45 5
3 2 WINDICATOR FAMILY 9.2% 10.84 3
4 1 NIGHT PUROSANGUE 6.4% 15.68 12
5 10 MY FLYING ANGEL 5.2% 19.10 1
6 13 FAIRY HORSE 5.2% 19.29 6
7 14 LAPRAS 4.0% 25.08 11
8 8 ISLAND GOLDEN 3.4% 29.75 13
9 7 EURO ROCKS 3.3% 29.88 10
10 11 THE WAY WE WIN 3.0% 32.94 9
11 5 COLONEL 3.0% 33.64 7
12 9 MANYTHANKS FOREVER 2.9% 34.18 8
13 12 BRAVE OF FRIENDS 1.9% 52.78 4
14 6 MAGIC COMBO 1.6% 62.20 14
CIRCUIT FIERYTEAM HAPPYWINDICATOR FAMILYNIGHT PUROSANGUEMY FLYING ANGEL — wonFAIRY HORSELAPRASISLAND GOLDENEURO ROCKSTHE WAY WE WINCOLONELMANYTHANKS FOREVERBRAVE OF FRIENDSMAGIC COMBO

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

10 88

PLACE

2 28.5

4 12.5

10 28.5

QUINELLA

4,10 116

QUINELLA PLACE

2,4 46.5

2,10 134

4,10 50

FORECAST

10,4 375

TIERCE

10,4,2 2,211

TRIO

2,4,10 350

FIRST 4

2,4,10,12 4,929

QUARTET

10,4,2,12 86,751