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Sha Tin · 2025-09-14 · 22:05

Race 1

Class 5 1400m Course B 14 runners

Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2025-09-14 was Class 5 over 1400m. MY FLYING ANGEL, ridden by A Badel and trained by F C Lor, won by 1/2, with CIRCUIT FIERY second and WINDICATOR FAMILY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.3 favourite CIRCUIT FIERY finished 2nd.

Result

Official · 1.21.43
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 10 MY FLYING ANGEL Closed strongly B 1.21.43 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · F C Lor 3 8.8 1/2
2 4 CIRCUIT FIERY Closed strongly PC/TT Z Purton · W Y So 7 2.3 1/2
3 2 WINDICATOR FAMILY Closed strongly V P N Wong · D J Hall 1 9.7 2-3/4
4 12 BRAVE OF FRIENDS Closed strongly B-/XB2/TT R Kingscote · D J Whyte 10 109.0 3-1/2
5 3 TEAM HAPPY Closed strongly B/TT C L Chau · P C Ng 2 5.5 3-3/4
6 13 FAIRY HORSE Closed strongly SB/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes 13 20.0 4
7 5 COLONEL Led early TT K De Melo · J Richards 4 91.0 4-1/4
8 9 MANYTHANKS FOREVER V/TT D Probert · W Y So 12 72.0 4-1/4
9 11 THE WAY WE WIN B/TT H Bentley · J Richards 11 38.0 4-3/4
10 7 EURO ROCKS B/TT M F Poon · C H Yip 6 15.0 5-1/4
11 14 LAPRAS BO/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo 5 20.0 6
12 1 NIGHT PUROSANGUE CP B Avdulla · D A Hayes 9 9.9 6-1/4
13 8 ISLAND GOLDEN TT C Y Ho · K L Man 8 18.0 7-1/4
14 6 MAGIC COMBO CP/TT J Orman · C S Shum 14 83.0 11-1/2

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. MY FLYING ANGEL2. CIRCUIT FIERY+0.5L3. WINDICATOR FAMILY+2.75L4. BRAVE OF FRIENDS+3.5L5. TEAM HAPPY+3.75L6. FAIRY HORSE+4L7. COLONEL+4.25L8. MANYTHANKS FOREVER+4.25L9. THE WAY WE WIN+4.75L10. EURO ROCKS+5.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick CIRCUIT FIERY (40.3%) finished 2nd — the winner MY FLYING ANGEL was rated #5. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 4 CIRCUIT FIERY 40.3% 2.48 2
2 3 TEAM HAPPY 10.6% 9.45 5
3 2 WINDICATOR FAMILY 9.2% 10.84 3
4 1 NIGHT PUROSANGUE 6.4% 15.68 12
5 10 MY FLYING ANGEL 5.2% 19.10 1
6 13 FAIRY HORSE 5.2% 19.29 6
7 14 LAPRAS 4.0% 25.08 11
8 8 ISLAND GOLDEN 3.4% 29.75 13
9 7 EURO ROCKS 3.3% 29.88 10
10 11 THE WAY WE WIN 3.0% 32.94 9
11 5 COLONEL 3.0% 33.64 7
12 9 MANYTHANKS FOREVER 2.9% 34.18 8
13 12 BRAVE OF FRIENDS 1.9% 52.78 4
14 6 MAGIC COMBO 1.6% 62.20 14
CIRCUIT FIERYTEAM HAPPYWINDICATOR FAMILYNIGHT PUROSANGUEMY FLYING ANGEL — wonFAIRY HORSELAPRASISLAND GOLDENEURO ROCKSTHE WAY WE WINCOLONELMANYTHANKS FOREVERBRAVE OF FRIENDSMAGIC COMBO

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

10 88

PLACE

2 28.5

4 12.5

10 28.5

QUINELLA

4,10 116

QUINELLA PLACE

2,4 46.5

2,10 134

4,10 50

FORECAST

10,4 375

TIERCE

10,4,2 2,211

TRIO

2,4,10 350

FIRST 4

2,4,10,12 4,929

QUARTET

10,4,2,12 86,751