沙田 · 2025-12-14 · 04:30
第 1場
2025-12-14沙田第1場，Class 4，途程1400米。由Z Purton策騎、D J Hall訓練的RISING PHOENIX勝出。ENDUED獲得亞軍；SMILING FALCON獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.8倍大熱門THOUSAND SPIRIT跑獲第12名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | RISING PHOENIX 後段發力 1:22.50 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 2 | 6.2 | — |
| 2 | 1 | ENDUED 後段發力 C Williams · J Size | C Williams | J Size | 12 | 5.3 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 11 | SMILING FALCON 後段發力 H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 9 | 79.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 3 | AEROVOLANIC 後段發力 M Guyon · P C Ng | M Guyon | P C Ng | 6 | 13.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 13 | AMAZING FUN 後段發力 U Rispoli · C H Yip | U Rispoli | C H Yip | 11 | 23.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 14 | RAINBOW SEVEN 後段發力 C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 13 | 28.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 12 | DECISION LINK H Doyle · W Y So | H Doyle | W Y So | 5 | 8.2 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 9 | CALIFORNIA STAR M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 14 | 23.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 5 | FLYING BOOM M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 3 | 12.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 4 | RED BRICK WARRIOR 後段發力 D B McMonagle · D Eustace | D B McMonagle | D Eustace | 4 | 46.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 6 | KA YING GLORY K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 10 | 8.9 | 9-1/4 |
| 12 | 2 | THOUSAND SPIRIT 早段領放 L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 7 | 4.8 | 9-3/4 |
| 13 | 7 | GOLDEN FORTUNE K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 1 | 72.0 | 14-1/2 |
| 14 | 8 | JUBILATION FOR ALL R Kingscote · C S Shum | R Kingscote | C S Shum | 8 | 10.0 | 27 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | RISING PHOENIX | 14.7% | 6.80 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | ENDUED | 14.5% | 6.88 | 2 |
| 3 | 6 | KA YING GLORY | 12.6% | 7.95 | 11 |
| 4 | 9 | CALIFORNIA STAR | 11.1% | 9.00 | 8 |
| 5 | 2 | THOUSAND SPIRIT | 10.3% | 9.67 | 12 |
| 6 | 12 | DECISION LINK | 8.6% | 11.62 | 7 |
| 7 | 3 | AEROVOLANIC | 7.6% | 13.15 | 4 |
| 8 | 14 | RAINBOW SEVEN | 4.8% | 20.69 | 6 |
| 9 | 5 | FLYING BOOM | 4.7% | 21.18 | 9 |
| 10 | 4 | RED BRICK WARRIOR | 3.5% | 28.51 | 10 |
| 11 | 13 | AMAZING FUN | 2.6% | 38.56 | 5 |
| 12 | 8 | JUBILATION FOR ALL | 2.2% | 44.57 | 14 |
| 13 | 7 | GOLDEN FORTUNE | 1.5% | 67.40 | 13 |
| 14 | 11 | SMILING FALCON | 1.1% | 88.70 | 3 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 62
PLACE
1 23
10 21.5
11 225
QUINELLA
1,10 169.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,10 70
1,11 1,428.5
10,11 1,548
FORECAST
10,1 415
TIERCE
10,1,11 29,743
TRIO
1,10,11 8,209
FIRST 4
1,3,10,11 20,310
QUARTET
10,1,11,3 411,282