沙田 · 2025-12-14 · 05:45
第 3場
2025-12-14沙田第3場，Class 4，途程1200米。由J Orman策騎、J Richards訓練的COOL BOY勝出。LUCKY MCQUEEN獲得亞軍；PACKING PHOENIX獲得季軍。2.0倍大熱門MAJESTIC VALOUR跑獲第8名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | COOL BOY 1:10.07 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Orman · J Richards | J Orman | J Richards | 14 | 31.0 | — |
| 2 | 14 | LUCKY MCQUEEN M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 6 | 44.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 3 | PACKING PHOENIX Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 2 | 4.1 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 13 | SPEEDY SMARTIE K Teetan · B Crawford | K Teetan | B Crawford | 9 | 10.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 4 | VOYAGE BOSS K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 4 | 8.4 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 2 | VULCANUS B Avdulla · Y S Tsui | B Avdulla | Y S Tsui | 12 | 67.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 9 | MONTA FRUTTA Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 10 | 70.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 1 | MAJESTIC VALOUR R Moore · P C Ng | R Moore | P C Ng | 7 | 2.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 6 | JUBILANT STAR J McDonald · D J Hall | J McDonald | D J Hall | 11 | 9.4 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 12 | WINNING DIAMOND U Rispoli · C H Yip | U Rispoli | C H Yip | 13 | 56.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 10 | STORMY KNIGHT H Bowman · D A Hayes | H Bowman | D A Hayes | 3 | 38.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 11 | ZEPHYR L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 5 | 57.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 13 | 7 | AQUAMAN R Kingscote · C W Chang | R Kingscote | C W Chang | 8 | 129.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 14 | 5 | FORTUNE SUPERNOVA T Marquand · K H Ting | T Marquand | K H Ting | 1 | 61.0 | 8-1/4 |
| — | 2 | MABUBU C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | MAJESTIC VALOUR | 35.9% | 2.78 | 8 |
| 2 | 3 | PACKING PHOENIX | 25.7% | 3.89 | 3 |
| 3 | 13 | SPEEDY SMARTIE | 10.9% | 9.19 | 4 |
| 4 | 6 | JUBILANT STAR | 5.3% | 18.95 | 9 |
| 5 | 4 | VOYAGE BOSS | 4.0% | 25.01 | 5 |
| 6 | 2 | VULCANUS | 3.3% | 30.31 | 6 |
| 7 | 10 | STORMY KNIGHT | 3.2% | 31.73 | 11 |
| 8 | 14 | LUCKY MCQUEEN | 2.2% | 44.57 | 2 |
| 9 | 8 | COOL BOY | 2.2% | 45.42 | 1 |
| 10 | 11 | ZEPHYR | 2.0% | 49.29 | 12 |
| 11 | 9 | MONTA FRUTTA | 1.7% | 58.95 | 7 |
| 12 | 12 | WINNING DIAMOND | 1.5% | 68.52 | 10 |
| 13 | 5 | FORTUNE SUPERNOVA | 1.2% | 84.08 | 14 |
| 14 | 7 | AQUAMAN | 0.9% | 106.71 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 319
PLACE
3 15.5
8 57
14 78.5
QUINELLA
8,14 3,656
QUINELLA PLACE
3,8 154.5
3,14 239.5
8,14 810.5
FORECAST
8,14 7,526
TIERCE
8,14,3 44,888
TRIO
3,8,14 5,252
FIRST 4
3,8,13,14 7,709
QUARTET
8,14,3,13 318,264
全部彩池（另 1 項）
2ND DOUBLE
4/8 1,862
4/14 486