沙田 · 2025-12-14 · 10:10
第 10場
2025-12-14沙田第10場，Class 2，途程1400米。由K C Leung策騎、W K Mo訓練的AERIS NOVA勝出。DROMBEG BANNER獲得亞軍；PUBLIC ATTENTION獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以3.4倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | AERIS NOVA 後段發力 1:22.07 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 12 | 3.4 | — |
| 2 | 5 | DROMBEG BANNER 早段領放 H Doyle · P C Ng | H Doyle | P C Ng | 10 | 8.9 | N |
| 3 | 12 | PUBLIC ATTENTION C Williams · D A Hayes | C Williams | D A Hayes | 8 | 3.6 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 14 | MID WINTER WIND 後段發力 M Chadwick · M Newnham | M Chadwick | M Newnham | 3 | 20.0 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 4 | DANCING CODE U Rispoli · C Fownes | U Rispoli | C Fownes | 1 | 17.0 | 1/2 |
| 6 | 3 | HEALTHY HAPPY 後段發力 L Ferraris · F C Lor | L Ferraris | F C Lor | 5 | 49.0 | 3/4 |
| 7 | 9 | GUSTOSISIMO A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 7 | 20.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 8 | 11 | KARMA 後段發力 M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 13 | 21.0 | 2 |
| 9 | 7 | YOUNG CHAMPION K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 6 | 9.8 | 2-1/2 |
| 10 | 2 | VICTOR THE WINNER L Hewitson · D Eustace | L Hewitson | D Eustace | 4 | 85.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 11 | 6 | MARKWIN 後段發力 H Bentley · W K Mo | H Bentley | W K Mo | 2 | 22.0 | 4 |
| 12 | 10 | MR ASCENDENCY R Kingscote · P F Yiu | R Kingscote | P F Yiu | 14 | 93.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 13 | 13 | BEAUTY CRESCENT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 11 | 13.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 14 | 1 | BEAUTY ETERNAL R Moore · J Size | R Moore | J Size | 9 | 14.0 | 7-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | PUBLIC ATTENTION | 24.8% | 4.04 | 3 |
| 2 | 4 | DANCING CODE | 12.3% | 8.12 | 5 |
| 3 | 8 | AERIS NOVA | 7.9% | 12.65 | 1 |
| 4 | 1 | BEAUTY ETERNAL | 7.0% | 14.19 | 14 |
| 5 | 7 | YOUNG CHAMPION | 7.0% | 14.36 | 9 |
| 6 | 13 | BEAUTY CRESCENT | 6.3% | 15.84 | 13 |
| 7 | 5 | DROMBEG BANNER | 6.3% | 15.94 | 2 |
| 8 | 14 | MID WINTER WIND | 5.9% | 16.91 | 4 |
| 9 | 9 | GUSTOSISIMO | 5.8% | 17.30 | 7 |
| 10 | 6 | MARKWIN | 5.7% | 17.68 | 11 |
| 11 | 3 | HEALTHY HAPPY | 3.9% | 25.43 | 6 |
| 12 | 11 | KARMA | 3.4% | 29.72 | 8 |
| 13 | 2 | VICTOR THE WINNER | 2.2% | 45.42 | 10 |
| 14 | 10 | MR ASCENDENCY | 1.6% | 63.74 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 34
PLACE
5 28
8 15
12 17
QUINELLA
5,8 147
QUINELLA PLACE
5,8 59
5,12 68
8,12 34.5
FORECAST
8,5 308
TIERCE
8,5,12 1,302
TRIO
5,8,12 227
FIRST 4
5,8,12,14 726
QUARTET
8,5,12,14 16,449
全部彩池（另 4 項）
2ND TREBLE
1/14/5 354
1/14/8 833
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
2,11,14/5,8,12 106,423
9TH DOUBLE
14/5 235.5
14/8 673
SIX UP
1/5/2/1/14/8 8,943
1,10/5,7/1,2/1,2/2,14/5,8 420
6 [P F Yiu] —
2 [Z Purton] —