沙田 · 2025-12-14 · 07:00
第 5場
2025-12-14沙田第5場，Group 1，途程1200米。由Z Purton策騎、D A Hayes訓練的KA YING RISING勝出。RAGING BLIZZARD獲得亞軍；FAST NETWORK獲得季軍。頭馬以1.0倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | KA YING RISING 1:07.70 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 1 | 1.0 | — |
| 2 | 10 | RAGING BLIZZARD B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 5 | 113.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 3 | 6 | FAST NETWORK J McDonald · C H Yip | J McDonald | C H Yip | 3 | 40.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 4 | 3 | LUCKY SWEYNESSE K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 8 | 52.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 5 | 4 | HELIOS EXPRESS H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 6 | 27.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 11 | TOMODACHI KOKOROE H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 7 | 89.0 | 6 |
| 7 | 8 | LUCKY WITH YOU L Ferraris · F C Lor | L Ferraris | F C Lor | 12 | 94.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 8 | 12 | WUNDERBAR C Williams · J Size | C Williams | J Size | 2 | 115.0 | 8 |
| 9 | 2 | SATONO REVE R Moore · N Hori | R Moore | N Hori | 4 | 33.0 | 8 |
| 10 | 9 | BEAUTY WAVES A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 9 | 118.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 11 | 5 | WIN CARNELIAN K Miura · Y Shikato | K Miura | Y Shikato | 11 | 69.0 | 14-1/4 |
| 12 | 7 | KHAADEM O Murphy · C Hills | O Murphy | C Hills | 13 | 147.0 | 26-1/4 |
| 13 | 13 | DIVANO H Doyle · K W Lui | H Doyle | K W Lui | 10 | 145.0 | 97-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | KA YING RISING | 49.7% | 2.01 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | SATONO REVE | 12.6% | 7.97 | 9 |
| 3 | 6 | FAST NETWORK | 7.3% | 13.68 | 3 |
| 4 | 11 | TOMODACHI KOKOROE | 4.6% | 21.87 | 6 |
| 5 | 4 | HELIOS EXPRESS | 4.5% | 22.13 | 5 |
| 6 | 3 | LUCKY SWEYNESSE | 3.6% | 27.91 | 4 |
| 7 | 5 | WIN CARNELIAN | 3.6% | 28.05 | 11 |
| 8 | 13 | DIVANO | 3.2% | 31.47 | 13 |
| 9 | 12 | WUNDERBAR | 2.6% | 38.60 | 8 |
| 10 | 10 | RAGING BLIZZARD | 2.4% | 42.16 | 2 |
| 11 | 8 | LUCKY WITH YOU | 2.3% | 43.31 | 7 |
| 12 | 9 | BEAUTY WAVES | 2.0% | 50.56 | 10 |
| 13 | 7 | KHAADEM | 1.8% | 56.33 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 10.5
PLACE
1 10.1
6 23.5
10 84
QUINELLA
1,10 180.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 24
1,10 73.5
6,10 314
FORECAST
1,10 191
TIERCE
1,10,6 772
TRIO
1,6,10 389
FIRST 4
1,3,6,10 790
QUARTET
1,10,6,3 7,479
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST TREBLE
8/5/1 1,299
8/5/10 14,083
4TH DOUBLE
5/1 32
5/10 497