沙田 · 2025-12-14 · 05:00
第 2場
2025-12-14沙田第2場，Class 3，途程1200米。由J McDonald策騎、D Eustace訓練的HELENE SUPAFEELING勝出。YOUNG ARROW獲得亞軍；CIRCUIT GRAND SLAM獲得季軍。3.1倍大熱門ARMOUR WAR EAGLE跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | HELENE SUPAFEELING 1:09.82 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J McDonald · D Eustace | J McDonald | D Eustace | 12 | 7.8 | — |
| 2 | 12 | YOUNG ARROW H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 2 | 16.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 1 | CIRCUIT GRAND SLAM C Soumillon · K L Man | C Soumillon | K L Man | 7 | 4.8 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 7 | A TIME FOR US C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 4 | 33.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 8 | ARMOUR WAR EAGLE A Atzeni · M Newnham | A Atzeni | M Newnham | 1 | 3.1 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 2 | SAVVY BRILLIANT H Doyle · F C Lor | H Doyle | F C Lor | 6 | 13.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 14 | SUGAR SUGAR D Probert · C Fownes | D Probert | C Fownes | 9 | 47.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 9 | GIANT LEAP R Kingscote · P F Yiu | R Kingscote | P F Yiu | 13 | 12.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 6 | REFUSETOBEENGLISH M Guyon · P C Ng | M Guyon | P C Ng | 5 | 8.4 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 10 | FORZA LEADER L Hewitson · Y S Tsui | L Hewitson | Y S Tsui | 3 | 57.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 11 | LET'S HAVE FUN M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 8 | 12.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 5 | SOVEREIGN FUND U Rispoli · C W Chang | U Rispoli | C W Chang | 11 | 18.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 13 | 13 | HOLMES A COURT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 10 | 70.0 | 19-1/2 |
| — | 3 | GENEVA H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | CIRCUIT GRAND SLAM | 33.2% | 3.01 | 3 |
| 2 | 8 | ARMOUR WAR EAGLE | 15.7% | 6.37 | 5 |
| 3 | 4 | HELENE SUPAFEELING | 9.9% | 10.12 | 1 |
| 4 | 6 | REFUSETOBEENGLISH | 6.6% | 15.06 | 9 |
| 5 | 2 | SAVVY BRILLIANT | 6.5% | 15.41 | 6 |
| 6 | 7 | A TIME FOR US | 5.1% | 19.58 | 4 |
| 7 | 11 | LET'S HAVE FUN | 4.5% | 22.43 | 11 |
| 8 | 5 | SOVEREIGN FUND | 4.1% | 24.66 | 12 |
| 9 | 14 | SUGAR SUGAR | 3.6% | 27.79 | 7 |
| 10 | 9 | GIANT LEAP | 3.5% | 28.79 | 8 |
| 11 | 10 | FORZA LEADER | 3.0% | 33.19 | 10 |
| 12 | 12 | YOUNG ARROW | 3.0% | 33.58 | 2 |
| 13 | 13 | HOLMES A COURT | 1.4% | 70.28 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 78
PLACE
1 18.5
4 25.5
12 38.5
QUINELLA
4,12 541
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 76.5
1,12 155
4,12 170.5
FORECAST
4,12 1,186
TIERCE
4,12,1 7,646
TRIO
1,4,12 701
FIRST 4
1,4,7,12 7,705
QUARTET
4,12,1,7 213,202
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
10/4 742
10/12 329
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,10,11/1,4,12 948,423