Sha Tin · 2025-12-14 · 18:09
Race 10
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | AERIS NOVA Closed strongly 1:22.07 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 12 | 3.4 | — |
| 2 | 5 | DROMBEG BANNER Led early H Doyle · P C Ng | H Doyle | P C Ng | 10 | 8.9 | N |
| 3 | 12 | PUBLIC ATTENTION C Williams · D A Hayes | C Williams | D A Hayes | 8 | 3.6 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 14 | MID WINTER WIND Closed strongly M Chadwick · M Newnham | M Chadwick | M Newnham | 3 | 20.0 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 4 | DANCING CODE U Rispoli · C Fownes | U Rispoli | C Fownes | 1 | 17.0 | 1/2 |
| 6 | 3 | HEALTHY HAPPY Closed strongly L Ferraris · F C Lor | L Ferraris | F C Lor | 5 | 49.0 | 3/4 |
| 7 | 9 | GUSTOSISIMO A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 7 | 20.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 8 | 11 | KARMA Closed strongly M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 13 | 21.0 | 2 |
| 9 | 7 | YOUNG CHAMPION K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 6 | 9.8 | 2-1/2 |
| 10 | 2 | VICTOR THE WINNER L Hewitson · D Eustace | L Hewitson | D Eustace | 4 | 85.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 11 | 6 | MARKWIN Closed strongly H Bentley · W K Mo | H Bentley | W K Mo | 2 | 22.0 | 4 |
| 12 | 10 | MR ASCENDENCY R Kingscote · P F Yiu | R Kingscote | P F Yiu | 14 | 93.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 13 | 13 | BEAUTY CRESCENT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 11 | 13.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 14 | 1 | BEAUTY ETERNAL R Moore · J Size | R Moore | J Size | 9 | 14.0 | 7-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2025-12-14 was Class 2 over 1400m. AERIS NOVA, ridden by K C Leung and trained by W K Mo, won, with DROMBEG BANNER second and PUBLIC ATTENTION third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.4 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | PUBLIC ATTENTION | 24.8% | 4.04 | 3 |
| 2 | 4 | DANCING CODE | 12.3% | 8.12 | 5 |
| 3 | 8 | AERIS NOVA | 7.9% | 12.65 | 1 |
| 4 | 1 | BEAUTY ETERNAL | 7.0% | 14.19 | 14 |
| 5 | 7 | YOUNG CHAMPION | 7.0% | 14.36 | 9 |
| 6 | 13 | BEAUTY CRESCENT | 6.3% | 15.84 | 13 |
| 7 | 5 | DROMBEG BANNER | 6.3% | 15.94 | 2 |
| 8 | 14 | MID WINTER WIND | 5.9% | 16.91 | 4 |
| 9 | 9 | GUSTOSISIMO | 5.8% | 17.30 | 7 |
| 10 | 6 | MARKWIN | 5.7% | 17.68 | 11 |
| 11 | 3 | HEALTHY HAPPY | 3.9% | 25.43 | 6 |
| 12 | 11 | KARMA | 3.4% | 29.72 | 8 |
| 13 | 2 | VICTOR THE WINNER | 2.2% | 45.42 | 10 |
| 14 | 10 | MR ASCENDENCY | 1.6% | 63.74 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 34
PLACE
5 28
8 15
12 17
QUINELLA
5,8 147
QUINELLA PLACE
5,8 59
5,12 68
8,12 34.5
FORECAST
8,5 308
TIERCE
8,5,12 1,302
TRIO
5,8,12 227
FIRST 4
5,8,12,14 726
QUARTET
8,5,12,14 16,449
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
1/14/5 354
1/14/8 833
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
2,11,14/5,8,12 106,423
9TH DOUBLE
14/5 235.5
14/8 673
SIX UP
1/5/2/1/14/8 8,943
1,10/5,7/1,2/1,2/2,14/5,8 420
2 [Z Purton] —
6 [P F Yiu] —