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Sha Tin · 2025-12-14 · 08:10

Race 7

Group 1 1600m Course A 14 runners

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2025-12-14 was Group 1 over 1600m. VOYAGE BUBBLE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by P F Yiu, won, with SOUL RUSH second and RED LION third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.5 favourite MY WISH finished 6th.

Result

Official · 1:33.47
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 2 VOYAGE BUBBLE Closed strongly 1:33.47 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · P F Yiu 12 3.6
2 1 SOUL RUSH Closed strongly C Demuro · Y Ikee 11 7.1 1/2
3 8 RED LION Closed strongly H Bowman · J Size 7 52.0 2-1/4
4 3 DOCKLANDS T Marquand · H Eustace 8 86.0 2-1/2
5 5 GALAXY PATCH Closed strongly J McDonald · P C Ng 5 7.6 2-3/4
6 10 MY WISH L Ferraris · M Newnham 2 3.5 3
7 12 PATCH OF THETA Closed strongly C Williams · K W Lui 13 34.0 4
8 4 BEAUTY JOY Closed strongly B Avdulla · A S Cruz 4 69.0 4-1/4
9 7 PRAY FOR MIR Led early A Badel · W K Mo 9 84.0 4-1/4
10 6 BEAUVATIER Closed strongly A Pouchin · Y Barberot 6 82.0 4-1/4
11 14 EMBROIDERY C Lemaire · K Mori 10 7.2 5-1/4
12 13 THE LION IN WINTER R Moore · A P O'Brien 14 18.0 5-1/4
13 9 SUNLIGHT POWER C Soumillon · P F Yiu 3 14.0 15-1/2
14 11 COPARTNER PRANCE M Guyon · K W Lui 1 48.0 22
7 HAPPY TOGETHER A Badel · F C Lor

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. VOYAGE BUBBLE2. SOUL RUSH+0.5L3. RED LION+2.25L4. DOCKLANDS+2.5L5. GALAXY PATCH+2.75L6. MY WISH+3L7. PATCH OF THETA+4L8. BEAUTY JOY+4.25L9. PRAY FOR MIR+4.25L10. BEAUVATIER+4.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick MY WISH (36.9%) finished 6th — the winner VOYAGE BUBBLE was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 10 MY WISH 36.9% 2.71 6
2 2 VOYAGE BUBBLE 12.9% 7.78 1
3 5 GALAXY PATCH 11.7% 8.52 5
4 14 EMBROIDERY 7.7% 12.91 11
5 13 THE LION IN WINTER 6.4% 15.60 12
6 9 SUNLIGHT POWER 4.7% 21.45 13
7 11 COPARTNER PRANCE 4.2% 23.77 14
8 1 SOUL RUSH 4.1% 24.38 2
9 8 RED LION 2.4% 42.48 3
10 12 PATCH OF THETA 2.2% 45.22 7
11 7 PRAY FOR MIR 1.9% 52.05 9
12 6 BEAUVATIER 1.9% 52.69 10
13 4 BEAUTY JOY 1.8% 54.98 8
14 3 DOCKLANDS 1.2% 83.32 4
MY WISHVOYAGE BUBBLE — wonGALAXY PATCHEMBROIDERYTHE LION IN WINTERSUNLIGHT POWERCOPARTNER PRANCESOUL RUSHRED LIONPATCH OF THETAPRAY FOR MIRBEAUVATIERBEAUTY JOYDOCKLANDS

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

2 36

PLACE

1 26.5

2 16.5

8 108.5

QUINELLA

1,2 123.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,2 53

1,8 584.5

2,8 328.5

FORECAST

2,1 242

TIERCE

2,1,8 7,172

TRIO

1,2,8 2,301

FIRST 4

1,2,3,8 16,890

QUARTET

2,1,8,3 251,231

All pools (1 more)

6TH DOUBLE

5/1 149

5/2 191