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Sha Tin · 2025-12-14 · 09:30

Race 9

Class 3 1400m Course A 14 runners

Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2025-12-14 was Class 3 over 1400m. SMART AVENUE, ridden by K Teetan and trained by C H Yip, won, with EVERYONE'S STAR second and ONE MORE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.3 favourite EVERYONE'S STAR finished 2nd.

Result

Official · 1:21.74
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 14 SMART AVENUE Closed strongly 1:21.74 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · C H Yip 11 14.0
2 2 EVERYONE'S STAR Closed strongly Z Purton · F C Lor 7 4.3 NOSE
3 11 ONE MORE Led early L Hewitson · M Newnham 5 21.0 N
4 9 SIX PACK Closed strongly H Bowman · D J Whyte 10 12.0 1
5 1 JUNEAU PRIDE R Moore · J Size 13 10.0 1-3/4
6 7 DRAGON JOY H Doyle · P F Yiu 4 17.0 3
7 12 EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS H Bentley · B Crawford 9 6.8 3-1/4
8 6 LUCKY MY WAY Closed strongly K C Leung · K L Man 6 47.0 4-1/2
9 10 RISING FROM ASHES Closed strongly H T Mo · C W Chang 12 64.0 5-3/4
10 3 STAR RISE J McDonald · D J Hall 2 4.8 6-3/4
11 5 URANUS STAR M Guyon · K W Lui 14 19.0 8-1/4
12 4 CHARMING LEGEND U Rispoli · C Fownes 8 5.7 9-1/2
13 13 NOT USUAL PICK M Chadwick · W Y So 3 102.0 12
14 8 STANLEY EXPRESS M L Yeung · P C Ng 1 83.0 19
9 PRAY FOR JUSTICE A Atzeni · D Eustace

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SMART AVENUE2. EVERYONE'S STAR+0.05L3. ONE MORE+0.05L4. SIX PACK+1L5. JUNEAU PRIDE+1.75L6. DRAGON JOY+3L7. EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS+3.25L8. LUCKY MY WAY+4.5L9. RISING FROM ASHES+5.75L10. STAR RISE+6.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick EVERYONE'S STAR (25.2%) finished 2nd — the winner SMART AVENUE was rated #6. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 2 EVERYONE'S STAR 25.2% 3.97 2
2 3 STAR RISE 18.2% 5.51 10
3 1 JUNEAU PRIDE 12.1% 8.29 5
4 9 SIX PACK 7.0% 14.27 4
5 11 ONE MORE 6.8% 14.69 3
6 14 SMART AVENUE 5.3% 18.73 1
7 7 DRAGON JOY 4.8% 20.95 6
8 12 EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS 4.2% 23.86 7
9 5 URANUS STAR 3.8% 25.99 11
10 6 LUCKY MY WAY 3.7% 26.69 8
11 4 CHARMING LEGEND 3.7% 27.05 12
12 10 RISING FROM ASHES 2.5% 40.33 9
13 8 STANLEY EXPRESS 1.4% 69.48 14
14 13 NOT USUAL PICK 1.2% 81.48 13
EVERYONE'S STARSTAR RISEJUNEAU PRIDESIX PACKONE MORESMART AVENUE — wonDRAGON JOYEIGHTY LIGHT YEARSURANUS STARLUCKY MY WAYCHARMING LEGENDRISING FROM ASHESSTANLEY EXPRESSNOT USUAL PICK

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

14 149

PLACE

2 15

11 65

14 40

QUINELLA

2,14 353

QUINELLA PLACE

2,11 271.5

2,14 113.5

11,14 465.5

FORECAST

14,2 868

TIERCE

14,2,11 18,514

TRIO

2,11,14 2,684

FIRST 4

2,9,11,14 4,877

QUARTET

14,2,11,9 156,220

All pools (1 more)

8TH DOUBLE

1/2 10.5

1/14 128.5