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Sha Tin · 2025-12-14 · 17:28

Race 9

Class 3 1400m Course A 14 runners

Result

Official · 1:21.74
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 14 SMART AVENUE Closed strongly 1:21.74 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · C H Yip 11 14.0 —
2 2 EVERYONE'S STAR Closed strongly Z Purton · F C Lor 7 4.3 NOSE
3 11 ONE MORE Led early L Hewitson · M Newnham 5 21.0 N
4 9 SIX PACK Closed strongly H Bowman · D J Whyte 10 12.0 1
5 1 JUNEAU PRIDE R Moore · J Size 13 10.0 1-3/4
6 7 DRAGON JOY H Doyle · P F Yiu 4 17.0 3
7 12 EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS H Bentley · B Crawford 9 6.8 3-1/4
8 6 LUCKY MY WAY Closed strongly K C Leung · K L Man 6 47.0 4-1/2
9 10 RISING FROM ASHES Closed strongly H T Mo · C W Chang 12 64.0 5-3/4
10 3 STAR RISE J McDonald · D J Hall 2 4.8 6-3/4
11 5 URANUS STAR M Guyon · K W Lui 14 19.0 8-1/4
12 4 CHARMING LEGEND U Rispoli · C Fownes 8 5.7 9-1/2
13 13 NOT USUAL PICK M Chadwick · W Y So 3 102.0 12
14 8 STANLEY EXPRESS M L Yeung · P C Ng 1 83.0 19
— 9 PRAY FOR JUSTICE A Atzeni · D Eustace — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2025-12-14 was Class 3 over 1400m. SMART AVENUE, ridden by K Teetan and trained by C H Yip, won, with EVERYONE'S STAR second and ONE MORE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.3 favourite EVERYONE'S STAR finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SMART AVENUE—2. EVERYONE'S STAR+0.05L3. ONE MORE+0.05L4. SIX PACK+1L5. JUNEAU PRIDE+1.75L6. DRAGON JOY+3L7. EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS+3.25L8. LUCKY MY WAY+4.5L9. RISING FROM ASHES+5.75L10. STAR RISE+6.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick EVERYONE'S STAR (25.2%) finished 2nd — the winner SMART AVENUE was rated #6. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 2 EVERYONE'S STAR 25.2% 3.97 2
2 3 STAR RISE 18.2% 5.51 10
3 1 JUNEAU PRIDE 12.1% 8.29 5
4 9 SIX PACK 7.0% 14.27 4
5 11 ONE MORE 6.8% 14.69 3
6 14 SMART AVENUE 5.3% 18.73 1
7 7 DRAGON JOY 4.8% 20.95 6
8 12 EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS 4.2% 23.86 7
9 5 URANUS STAR 3.8% 25.99 11
10 6 LUCKY MY WAY 3.7% 26.69 8
11 4 CHARMING LEGEND 3.7% 27.05 12
12 10 RISING FROM ASHES 2.5% 40.33 9
13 8 STANLEY EXPRESS 1.4% 69.48 14
14 13 NOT USUAL PICK 1.2% 81.48 13
EVERYONE'S STARSTAR RISEJUNEAU PRIDESIX PACKONE MORESMART AVENUE — wonDRAGON JOYEIGHTY LIGHT YEARSURANUS STARLUCKY MY WAYCHARMING LEGENDRISING FROM ASHESSTANLEY EXPRESSNOT USUAL PICK

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

14 149

PLACE

2 15

11 65

14 40

QUINELLA

2,14 353

QUINELLA PLACE

2,11 271.5

2,14 113.5

11,14 465.5

FORECAST

14,2 868

TIERCE

14,2,11 18,514

TRIO

2,11,14 2,684

FIRST 4

2,9,11,14 4,877

QUARTET

14,2,11,9 156,220

All pools (1 more)

8TH DOUBLE

1/2 10.5

1/14 128.5