跑馬地 · 2025-12-23 · 13:50
第 7場
2025-12-23跑馬地第7場，Class 4，途程1200米。由L Hewitson策騎、D A Hayes訓練的AWESOME TREASURE勝出。REWARDING BUDDY獲得亞軍；FORTUNE WHISKEY獲得季軍。4.2倍大熱門JOLLY COMPANION跑獲第9名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | AWESOME TREASURE 1:10.12 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 6 | 5.2 | — |
| 2 | 8 | REWARDING BUDDY C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 8 | 7.1 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 1 | FORTUNE WHISKEY M F Poon · D Eustace | M F Poon | D Eustace | 9 | 32.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 4 | GENIUS BABY K Teetan · B Crawford | K Teetan | B Crawford | 10 | 7.1 | 2 |
| 5 | 9 | ROMAN CROWN M Guyon · P C Ng | M Guyon | P C Ng | 2 | 6.5 | 2 |
| 6 | 7 | ABSOLUTE LUCKY L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 1 | 23.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 3 | FREE PONY M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 12 | 21.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 6 | CHEVAL VICTORIOUS H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 11 | 19.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 11 | JOLLY COMPANION H Doyle · K L Man | H Doyle | K L Man | 5 | 4.2 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 12 | GLORY CLOUD D Probert · C Fownes | D Probert | C Fownes | 3 | 9.1 | 6 |
| 11 | 5 | SWEET BRIAR H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 7 | 29.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 2 | THE ALL OUT A Atzeni · J Richards | A Atzeni | J Richards | 4 | 26.0 | 9 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | ROMAN CROWN | 14.5% | 6.89 | 5 |
| 2 | 4 | GENIUS BABY | 14.2% | 7.05 | 4 |
| 3 | 8 | REWARDING BUDDY | 13.7% | 7.30 | 2 |
| 4 | 3 | FREE PONY | 11.1% | 9.00 | 7 |
| 5 | 11 | JOLLY COMPANION | 9.2% | 10.85 | 9 |
| 6 | 12 | GLORY CLOUD | 8.4% | 11.96 | 10 |
| 7 | 10 | AWESOME TREASURE | 7.5% | 13.25 | 1 |
| 8 | 6 | CHEVAL VICTORIOUS | 6.5% | 15.30 | 8 |
| 9 | 1 | FORTUNE WHISKEY | 4.9% | 20.26 | 3 |
| 10 | 5 | SWEET BRIAR | 4.3% | 23.00 | 11 |
| 11 | 2 | THE ALL OUT | 3.3% | 30.11 | 12 |
| 12 | 7 | ABSOLUTE LUCKY | 2.2% | 44.87 | 6 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 52.5
PLACE
1 79
8 25
10 21
QUINELLA
8,10 208
QUINELLA PLACE
1,8 302
1,10 274
8,10 79.5
FORECAST
10,8 500
TIERCE
10,8,1 10,457
TRIO
1,8,10 2,489
FIRST 4
1,4,8,10 2,829
QUARTET
10,8,1,4 87,549
全部彩池（另 3 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
3,11,12/1,8,10 123,276
6TH DOUBLE
12/8 48
12/10 381.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
3,4,11/3,11,12/Any Combination 5,412