跑馬地 · 2025-12-23 · 12:15
第 4場
2025-12-23跑馬地第4場，Class 4，途程1200米。由E C W Wong策騎、C Fownes訓練的SUGAR SUGAR勝出。GIANT BALLON獲得亞軍；WINNING MONEY獲得季軍。2.3倍大熱門WINNING MONEY跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SUGAR SUGAR 1:09.55 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 4 | 4.7 | — |
| 2 | 4 | GIANT BALLON L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 8 | 18.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 8 | WINNING MONEY Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 9 | 2.3 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 10 | GOLDEN LUCK H Doyle · K L Man | H Doyle | K L Man | 5 | 9.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 6 | LAKESHORE HERO A Atzeni · D J Hall | A Atzeni | D J Hall | 12 | 15.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 2 | VICTOR THE RAPID M Guyon · P C Ng | M Guyon | P C Ng | 10 | 11.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 12 | SPEEDY TRIDENT Y L Chung · Y S Tsui | Y L Chung | Y S Tsui | 6 | 44.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 11 | WINNING CIGAR L Ferraris · D A Hayes | L Ferraris | D A Hayes | 7 | 67.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 3 | LEAN MASTER H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 3 | 26.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 9 | HEROIC MASTER B Avdulla · F C Lor | B Avdulla | F C Lor | 11 | 38.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 5 | GIDDY UP M L Yeung · J Richards | M L Yeung | J Richards | 1 | 7.5 | 8 |
| 12 | 7 | ONE LOVE K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 2 | 45.0 | 8 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | WINNING MONEY | 29.8% | 3.36 | 3 |
| 2 | 10 | GOLDEN LUCK | 14.7% | 6.82 | 4 |
| 3 | 1 | SUGAR SUGAR | 9.2% | 10.89 | 1 |
| 4 | 2 | VICTOR THE RAPID | 8.8% | 11.31 | 6 |
| 5 | 5 | GIDDY UP | 8.2% | 12.27 | 11 |
| 6 | 3 | LEAN MASTER | 7.3% | 13.62 | 9 |
| 7 | 6 | LAKESHORE HERO | 5.9% | 17.08 | 5 |
| 8 | 4 | GIANT BALLON | 5.1% | 19.76 | 2 |
| 9 | 7 | ONE LOVE | 4.2% | 23.57 | 12 |
| 10 | 9 | HEROIC MASTER | 2.9% | 34.92 | 10 |
| 11 | 12 | SPEEDY TRIDENT | 2.9% | 34.92 | 7 |
| 12 | 11 | WINNING CIGAR | 1.2% | 84.88 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 47
PLACE
1 16.5
4 47.5
8 13
QUINELLA
1,4 711.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 172
1,8 25
4,8 110.5
FORECAST
1,4 975
TIERCE
1,4,8 4,025
TRIO
1,4,8 444
FIRST 4
1,4,8,10 591
QUARTET
1,4,8,10 18,082
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3RD DOUBLE
2/1 535.5
2/4 237.5