沙田 · 2026-01-01 · 06:06
第 4場
2026-01-01沙田第4場，Class 4，途程1200米。由H Bentley策騎、F C Lor訓練的SMART GOLF勝出。SPEEDY SMARTIE獲得亞軍；AMAZING PARTNERS獲得季軍。2.9倍大熱門SPEEDY SMARTIE跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | SMART GOLF TT 1:09.13 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 11 | 3.9 | — |
| 2 | 12 | SPEEDY SMARTIE K Teetan · B Crawford | K Teetan | B Crawford | 4 | 2.9 | 2 |
| 3 | 5 | AMAZING PARTNERS TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 13 | 6.3 | 3-1/2 |
| 4 | 2 | LIGHT YEARS GLORY CP/TT B Avdulla · W K Mo | B Avdulla | W K Mo | 1 | 13.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 5 | 1 | FLOWING RICHES CP M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 10 | 20.0 | 5 |
| 6 | 4 | ADORABLE SMILE TT M Guyon · D Eustace | M Guyon | D Eustace | 7 | 41.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 3 | ALABAMA SONG H D B McMonagle · J Size | D B McMonagle | J Size | 14 | 48.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 8 | SUPREME FEELING L Ferraris · D A Hayes | L Ferraris | D A Hayes | 8 | 38.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 7 | SPEEDY PATCH K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 2 | 23.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 14 | SPARKLE AND GOLD TT A Atzeni · C H Yip | A Atzeni | C H Yip | 3 | 20.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 9 | VICTOR SUPREME C L Chau · P F Yiu | C L Chau | P F Yiu | 9 | 9.9 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 11 | GOOD FORTUNE B/TT M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 12 | 21.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 13 | 10 | ZEPHYR TT M Chadwick · M Newnham | M Chadwick | M Newnham | 6 | 99.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 14 | 13 | SERGEANT PEPPER H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 5 | 78.0 | 16-1/2 |
| — | 0 | CALIFORNIA DEEPLY B/TT · A S Cruz | — | A S Cruz | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | LAKESHORE HERO · D J Hall | — | D J Hall | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | AMAZING PARTNERS | 17.4% | 5.76 | 3 |
| 2 | 12 | SPEEDY SMARTIE | 16.7% | 5.98 | 2 |
| 3 | 6 | SMART GOLF | 13.0% | 7.71 | 1 |
| 4 | 8 | SUPREME FEELING | 11.3% | 8.86 | 8 |
| 5 | 9 | VICTOR SUPREME | 7.7% | 13.00 | 11 |
| 6 | 1 | FLOWING RICHES | 6.8% | 14.65 | 5 |
| 7 | 14 | SPARKLE AND GOLD | 6.6% | 15.08 | 10 |
| 8 | 7 | SPEEDY PATCH | 5.4% | 18.46 | 9 |
| 9 | 2 | LIGHT YEARS GLORY | 4.3% | 23.28 | 4 |
| 10 | 3 | ALABAMA SONG | 3.2% | 31.67 | 7 |
| 11 | 11 | GOOD FORTUNE | 2.8% | 35.14 | 12 |
| 12 | 13 | SERGEANT PEPPER | 2.0% | 49.39 | 14 |
| 13 | 10 | ZEPHYR | 1.5% | 67.51 | 13 |
| 14 | 4 | ADORABLE SMILE | 1.3% | 76.34 | 6 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 39
PLACE
5 19.5
6 16
12 13
QUINELLA
6,12 53.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 50.5
5,12 34.5
6,12 29
FORECAST
6,12 116
TIERCE
6,12,5 425
TRIO
5,6,12 102
FIRST 4
2,5,6,12 159
QUARTET
6,12,5,2 2,645
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3RD DOUBLE
6/6 99
6/12 20