沙田 · 2026-01-01 · 07:40
第 7場
2026-01-01沙田第7場，Class 4，途程1600米。由M Guyon策騎、J Size訓練的ENDUED勝出。HAPPY UNIVERSE獲得亞軍；THE GOLDEN KNIGHT獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以3.8倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | ENDUED 後段發力 E/TT 1:34.27 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M Guyon · J Size | M Guyon | J Size | 1 | 3.8 | — |
| 2 | 5 | HAPPY UNIVERSE 後段發力 P R Kingscote · K H Ting | R Kingscote | K H Ting | 13 | 15.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 6 | THE GOLDEN KNIGHT 後段發力 XB H Bowman · K W Lui | H Bowman | K W Lui | 12 | 4.3 | 1 |
| 4 | 10 | KYRUS TREASURE 後段發力 CP/TT C L Chau · D Eustace | C L Chau | D Eustace | 14 | 76.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 4 | RISING PHOENIX 後段發力 B Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 3 | 9.7 | 2 |
| 6 | 3 | THE LION KING J Orman · F C Lor | J Orman | F C Lor | 6 | 28.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 2 | ETALON OR 後段發力 B A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 5 | 4.5 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 14 | CONSPIRACY WITNESS 後段發力 B H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 8 | 54.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 13 | AMAZING FUN 後段發力 TT K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 9 | 32.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 9 | CALIFORNIA BANNER B/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 7 | 18.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 8 | GLORIASTAR B1 L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 10 | 9.3 | 9 |
| 12 | 11 | KINGLY DEMEANOR 早段領放 TT M L Yeung · A S Cruz | M L Yeung | A S Cruz | 11 | 32.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 13 | 12 | SANDMAN B/TT D Probert · D J Whyte | D Probert | D J Whyte | 2 | 108.0 | 13-1/2 |
| 14 | 7 | FRANTANCK TT D B McMonagle · P C Ng | D B McMonagle | P C Ng | 4 | 27.0 | 14-1/4 |
| — | 0 | INNO SUPER SR/TT · D Eustace | — | D Eustace | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | RISING PHOENIX | 20.8% | 4.82 | 5 |
| 2 | 1 | ENDUED | 16.3% | 6.14 | 1 |
| 3 | 6 | THE GOLDEN KNIGHT | 11.5% | 8.73 | 3 |
| 4 | 2 | ETALON OR | 9.6% | 10.39 | 7 |
| 5 | 8 | GLORIASTAR | 6.1% | 16.52 | 11 |
| 6 | 5 | HAPPY UNIVERSE | 5.5% | 18.13 | 2 |
| 7 | 9 | CALIFORNIA BANNER | 5.3% | 18.80 | 10 |
| 8 | 13 | AMAZING FUN | 5.2% | 19.19 | 9 |
| 9 | 10 | KYRUS TREASURE | 4.6% | 21.85 | 4 |
| 10 | 14 | CONSPIRACY WITNESS | 4.3% | 23.48 | 8 |
| 11 | 7 | FRANTANCK | 3.6% | 27.49 | 14 |
| 12 | 11 | KINGLY DEMEANOR | 3.3% | 30.25 | 12 |
| 13 | 3 | THE LION KING | 2.9% | 34.94 | 6 |
| 14 | 12 | SANDMAN | 1.1% | 88.66 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 38.5
PLACE
1 16.5
5 40
6 18
QUINELLA
1,5 351.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 115.5
1,6 48.5
5,6 125
FORECAST
1,5 537
TIERCE
1,5,6 2,862
TRIO
1,5,6 511
FIRST 4
1,5,6,10 5,708
QUARTET
1,5,6,10 107,328
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,4,5/1,5,6 49,711
6TH DOUBLE
5/1 515.5
5/5 199
TRIPLE TRIO
6,12,13/1,4,5/1,5,6 16,852,512
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
6,12,13/1,4,5/Any Combination 159,114