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Sha Tin · 2026-01-01 · 07:40

Race 7

Class 4 1600m Course B+2 14 runners

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2026-01-01 was Class 4 over 1600m. ENDUED, ridden by M Guyon and trained by J Size, won, with HAPPY UNIVERSE second and THE GOLDEN KNIGHT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.8 favourite.

Result

Official · 1:34.27
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 1 ENDUED Closed strongly E/TT 1:34.27 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Guyon · J Size 1 3.8
2 5 HAPPY UNIVERSE Closed strongly P R Kingscote · K H Ting 13 15.0 1
3 6 THE GOLDEN KNIGHT Closed strongly XB H Bowman · K W Lui 12 4.3 1
4 10 KYRUS TREASURE Closed strongly CP/TT C L Chau · D Eustace 14 76.0 1-1/2
5 4 RISING PHOENIX Closed strongly B Z Purton · D J Hall 3 9.7 2
6 3 THE LION KING J Orman · F C Lor 6 28.0 3-1/4
7 2 ETALON OR Closed strongly B A Badel · P F Yiu 5 4.5 3-3/4
8 14 CONSPIRACY WITNESS Closed strongly B H Bentley · D A Hayes 8 54.0 4
9 13 AMAZING FUN Closed strongly TT K Teetan · C H Yip 9 32.0 4-1/4
10 9 CALIFORNIA BANNER B/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo 7 18.0 7-1/2
11 8 GLORIASTAR B1 L Ferraris · M Newnham 10 9.3 9
12 11 KINGLY DEMEANOR Led early TT M L Yeung · A S Cruz 11 32.0 9-1/4
13 12 SANDMAN B/TT D Probert · D J Whyte 2 108.0 13-1/2
14 7 FRANTANCK TT D B McMonagle · P C Ng 4 27.0 14-1/4
0 INNO SUPER SR/TT · D Eustace

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. ENDUED2. HAPPY UNIVERSE+1L3. THE GOLDEN KNIGHT+1L4. KYRUS TREASURE+1.5L5. RISING PHOENIX+2L6. THE LION KING+3.25L7. ETALON OR+3.75L8. CONSPIRACY WITNESS+4L9. AMAZING FUN+4.25L10. CALIFORNIA BANNER+7.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick RISING PHOENIX (20.8%) finished 5th — the winner ENDUED was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 4 RISING PHOENIX 20.8% 4.82 5
2 1 ENDUED 16.3% 6.14 1
3 6 THE GOLDEN KNIGHT 11.5% 8.73 3
4 2 ETALON OR 9.6% 10.39 7
5 8 GLORIASTAR 6.1% 16.52 11
6 5 HAPPY UNIVERSE 5.5% 18.13 2
7 9 CALIFORNIA BANNER 5.3% 18.80 10
8 13 AMAZING FUN 5.2% 19.19 9
9 10 KYRUS TREASURE 4.6% 21.85 4
10 14 CONSPIRACY WITNESS 4.3% 23.48 8
11 7 FRANTANCK 3.6% 27.49 14
12 11 KINGLY DEMEANOR 3.3% 30.25 12
13 3 THE LION KING 2.9% 34.94 6
14 12 SANDMAN 1.1% 88.66 13
RISING PHOENIXENDUED — wonTHE GOLDEN KNIGHTETALON ORGLORIASTARHAPPY UNIVERSECALIFORNIA BANNERAMAZING FUNKYRUS TREASURECONSPIRACY WITNESSFRANTANCKKINGLY DEMEANORTHE LION KINGSANDMAN

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 38.5

PLACE

1 16.5

5 40

6 18

QUINELLA

1,5 351.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,5 115.5

1,6 48.5

5,6 125

FORECAST

1,5 537

TIERCE

1,5,6 2,862

TRIO

1,5,6 511

FIRST 4

1,5,6,10 5,708

QUARTET

1,5,6,10 107,328

All pools (4 more)

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

1,4,5/1,5,6 49,711

6TH DOUBLE

5/1 515.5

5/5 199

TRIPLE TRIO

6,12,13/1,4,5/1,5,6 16,852,512

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

6,12,13/1,4,5/Any Combination 159,114