Sha Tin · 2026-01-01 · 06:36
Race 5
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2026-01-01 was Class 4 over 2000m. YIU CHEUNG VICTORY, ridden by A Badel and trained by C H Yip, won, with VOLCANIC SPARK second and PACKING HURRICANE third. The winner led throughout. The 4.4 favourite DOUBLE WIN finished 6th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | YIU CHEUNG VICTORY Wire to wire V 2:03.58 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 6 | 31.0 | — |
| 2 | 12 | VOLCANIC SPARK Closed strongly B R Kingscote · P F Yiu | R Kingscote | P F Yiu | 9 | 8.1 | N |
| 3 | 6 | PACKING HURRICANE Closed strongly B/TT D B McMonagle · P C Ng | D B McMonagle | P C Ng | 5 | 8.5 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 7 | SERANGOON Closed strongly B/TT H Bentley · A S Cruz | H Bentley | A S Cruz | 4 | 14.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 5 | HAKKA RADIANCE TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 2 | 5.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 2 | DOUBLE WIN Closed strongly V/XB/TT C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 1 | 4.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 8 | FOREVER GLORIOUS V/XB L Ferraris · B Crawford | L Ferraris | B Crawford | 8 | 16.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 8 | 14 | PERFECT PAIRING Closed strongly B M L Yeung · J Size | M L Yeung | J Size | 14 | 21.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 9 | 11 | MANAGEMENT FOLKS Closed strongly K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 3 | 9.3 | 2-3/4 |
| 10 | 9 | VIVA TASTE TT M F Poon · K H Ting | M F Poon | K H Ting | 7 | 34.0 | 3 |
| 11 | 3 | SHARPEN BRIGHT B M Guyon · Y S Tsui | M Guyon | Y S Tsui | 10 | 13.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 10 | GLORIOUS RYDER B/TT K C Leung · D Eustace | K C Leung | D Eustace | 12 | 57.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 13 | 1 | SUPREME MASTERMIND H-/XB/TT Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 13 | 8.7 | 7-3/4 |
| 14 | 4 | CHAIN OF GOLD BO/XB/TT J Orman · W K Mo | J Orman | W K Mo | 11 | 36.0 | 16-1/2 |
| — | 0 | NEARLY FINE TT · C Fownes | — | C Fownes | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | STAR BROSE CP/TT · D A Hayes | — | D A Hayes | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | HAKKA RADIANCE | 17.2% | 5.80 | 5 |
| 2 | 1 | SUPREME MASTERMIND | 10.8% | 9.30 | 13 |
| 3 | 2 | DOUBLE WIN | 10.3% | 9.70 | 6 |
| 4 | 11 | MANAGEMENT FOLKS | 8.3% | 12.04 | 9 |
| 5 | 7 | SERANGOON | 7.8% | 12.74 | 4 |
| 6 | 3 | SHARPEN BRIGHT | 7.1% | 14.15 | 11 |
| 7 | 14 | PERFECT PAIRING | 6.3% | 15.91 | 8 |
| 8 | 6 | PACKING HURRICANE | 6.1% | 16.34 | 3 |
| 9 | 12 | VOLCANIC SPARK | 5.6% | 17.79 | 2 |
| 10 | 4 | CHAIN OF GOLD | 5.2% | 19.27 | 14 |
| 11 | 9 | VIVA TASTE | 4.7% | 21.39 | 10 |
| 12 | 13 | YIU CHEUNG VICTORY | 4.2% | 23.61 | 1 |
| 13 | 8 | FOREVER GLORIOUS | 3.4% | 29.82 | 7 |
| 14 | 10 | GLORIOUS RYDER | 3.0% | 33.37 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
13 315
PLACE
6 30
12 30.5
13 91.5
QUINELLA
12,13 1,253
QUINELLA PLACE
6,12 115
6,13 405.5
12,13 392
FORECAST
13,12 2,597
TIERCE
13,12,6 25,703
TRIO
6,12,13 3,248
FIRST 4
6,7,12,13 8,137
QUARTET
13,12,6,7 277,656
All pools (3 more)
1ST TREBLE
6/6/12 227
6/6/13 2,812
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
5,6,12/6,12,13 31,281
4TH DOUBLE
6/12 119.5
6/13 2,215