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Sha Tin · 2026-01-01 · 09:55

Race 11

Class 3 1200m Course B+2 14 runners

Race 11 at Sha Tin on 2026-01-01 was Class 3 over 1200m. INFINITE RESOLVE, ridden by H Bowman and trained by M Newnham, won, with MIGHTY MASTS second and WOLF COMING third. The 3.9 favourite CIRCUIT GRAND SLAM finished 6th.

Result

Official · 1:09.32
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 2 INFINITE RESOLVE B- 1:09.32 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · M Newnham 4 4.2
2 5 MIGHTY MASTS B-/TT1 A Atzeni · W Y So 1 26.0 1-1/4
3 14 WOLF COMING B/XB/TT Y L Chung · C S Shum 7 14.0 2
4 11 FLASH CURRENT TT M L Yeung · K H Ting 14 68.0 2
5 9 PI LEGEND B/TT- A Badel · C H Yip 13 10.0 2-1/2
6 1 CIRCUIT GRAND SLAM Z Purton · K L Man 2 3.9 2-1/2
7 6 ROMANTIC SON CP H Bentley · D A Hayes 3 16.0 3
8 10 QUARTZ LEGEND TT C Y Ho · C Fownes 6 40.0 3
9 13 NEVER PETER OUT V/TT H T Mo · F C Lor 8 133.0 3-1/4
10 3 CANDLELIGHT DINNER H M Guyon · Y S Tsui 9 13.0 3-1/4
11 12 TOURBILLON GOLFER TT M F Poon · P F Yiu 5 4.5 3-1/2
12 4 HEAVING B/TT L Ferraris · D Eustace 12 13.0 3-3/4
13 7 YOUNG ARROW CP K Teetan · D J Whyte 11 24.0 7-1/4
14 8 M M CONCORD B-/CP1/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo 10 128.0 8-1/2
0 SUPER EXPRESS TT · J Size
0 FORTUNATE SON TT · W K Mo

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. INFINITE RESOLVE2. MIGHTY MASTS+1.25L3. WOLF COMING+2L4. FLASH CURRENT+2L5. PI LEGEND+2.5L6. CIRCUIT GRAND SLAM+2.5L7. ROMANTIC SON+3L8. QUARTZ LEGEND+3L9. NEVER PETER OUT+3.25L10. CANDLELIGHT DINNER+3.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick CIRCUIT GRAND SLAM (25.0%) finished 6th — the winner INFINITE RESOLVE was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 CIRCUIT GRAND SLAM 25.0% 4.00 6
2 2 INFINITE RESOLVE 13.3% 7.50 1
3 12 TOURBILLON GOLFER 11.6% 8.60 11
4 3 CANDLELIGHT DINNER 9.2% 10.91 10
5 6 ROMANTIC SON 7.0% 14.38 7
6 7 YOUNG ARROW 5.9% 17.09 13
7 4 HEAVING 5.6% 17.73 12
8 5 MIGHTY MASTS 4.8% 21.01 2
9 9 PI LEGEND 3.9% 25.80 5
10 10 QUARTZ LEGEND 3.8% 25.99 8
11 8 M M CONCORD 3.6% 27.44 14
12 14 WOLF COMING 2.4% 41.43 3
13 13 NEVER PETER OUT 2.0% 49.34 9
14 11 FLASH CURRENT 1.9% 53.50 4
CIRCUIT GRAND SLAMINFINITE RESOLVE — wonTOURBILLON GOLFERCANDLELIGHT DINNERROMANTIC SONYOUNG ARROWHEAVINGMIGHTY MASTSPI LEGENDQUARTZ LEGENDM M CONCORDWOLF COMINGNEVER PETER OUTFLASH CURRENT

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

2 42.5

PLACE

2 16

5 71.5

14 43

QUINELLA

2,5 469

QUINELLA PLACE

2,5 167

2,14 104

5,14 563.5

FORECAST

2,5 1,031

TIERCE

2,5,14 15,881

TRIO

2,5,14 3,418

FIRST 4

2,5,11,14 35,963

QUARTET

2,5,14,11 650,670

All pools (4 more)

10TH DOUBLE

3/2 244.5

3/5 519.5

2ND TREBLE

14/3/2 1,632

14/3/5 1,208

5TH DOUBLE TRIO

3,5,11/2,5,14 204,590

SIX UP

4,5/1,5/9,11/2,14/3,5/2,5 25,088

5/1/11/14/3/2 1,085,843

14 [Others]

1 [J Size]