Sha Tin · 2026-01-01 · 12:31
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | IRON LEGION Closed strongly H/TT 1:35.36 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 10 | 13.0 | — |
| 2 | 13 | HARRY'S HERO Closed strongly P-/H2 A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 2 | 3.8 | SH |
| 3 | 8 | DRACO Closed strongly H-/XB L Ferraris · B Crawford | L Ferraris | B Crawford | 8 | 5.2 | N |
| 4 | 6 | WINDICATOR FAMILY Closed strongly V Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 14 | 12.0 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 2 | JOLLY JUMPER BO/TT B Avdulla · W K Mo | B Avdulla | W K Mo | 9 | 6.4 | 1/2 |
| 6 | 14 | STRONGEST BOY Closed strongly V H Bentley · J Richards | H Bentley | J Richards | 7 | 22.0 | 3/4 |
| 7 | 3 | PANDA LEGEND V/TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 4 | 7.7 | 3/4 |
| 8 | 9 | DRAGON SUNRISE Closed strongly P/XB D Probert · K W Lui | D Probert | K W Lui | 6 | 22.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 9 | 5 | SMART TRIO V/TT K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 1 | 34.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 11 | ISLAND GOLDEN B/TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 13 | 74.0 | 8 |
| 11 | 10 | GANGNAM STAR TT K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 5 | 10.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 12 | 7 | SHINE BRIGHT Led early B J Orman · C H Yip | J Orman | C H Yip | 3 | 20.0 | 15 |
| 13 | 1 | SMILING EMPEROR V/XB R Kingscote · K H Ting | R Kingscote | K H Ting | 11 | 44.0 | 15-1/4 |
| 14 | 12 | SILVER KING H/XB/TT H T Mo · F C Lor | H T Mo | F C Lor | 12 | 61.0 | 20 |
| — | 0 | SUPREME WINNER CP2/SR2 · D J Whyte | — | D J Whyte | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | COSMO LIGHT P-/TT- · Y S Tsui | — | Y S Tsui | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2026-01-01 was Class 5 over 1600m. IRON LEGION, ridden by Y L Chung and trained by A S Cruz, won, with HARRY'S HERO second and DRACO third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.8 favourite HARRY'S HERO finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | DRACO | 21.3% | 4.70 | 3 |
| 2 | 13 | HARRY'S HERO | 12.8% | 7.81 | 2 |
| 3 | 10 | GANGNAM STAR | 12.1% | 8.29 | 11 |
| 4 | 6 | WINDICATOR FAMILY | 11.2% | 8.95 | 4 |
| 5 | 3 | PANDA LEGEND | 9.2% | 10.89 | 7 |
| 6 | 4 | IRON LEGION | 5.9% | 16.97 | 1 |
| 7 | 11 | ISLAND GOLDEN | 5.2% | 19.26 | 10 |
| 8 | 14 | STRONGEST BOY | 4.9% | 20.21 | 6 |
| 9 | 9 | DRAGON SUNRISE | 4.2% | 23.77 | 8 |
| 10 | 7 | SHINE BRIGHT | 3.8% | 26.10 | 12 |
| 11 | 12 | SILVER KING | 2.7% | 36.69 | 14 |
| 12 | 5 | SMART TRIO | 2.4% | 42.52 | 9 |
| 13 | 1 | SMILING EMPEROR | 2.2% | 45.26 | 13 |
| 14 | 2 | JOLLY JUMPER | 2.1% | 46.73 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 131.5
PLACE
4 43
8 19.5
13 16
QUINELLA
4,13 325
QUINELLA PLACE
4,8 129
4,13 109
8,13 47
FORECAST
4,13 738
TIERCE
4,13,8 3,607
TRIO
4,8,13 566
FIRST 4
4,6,8,13 1,768
QUARTET
4,13,8,6 44,458