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Sha Tin · 2026-01-01 · 07:06

Race 6

Class 4 1400m Course B+2 14 runners

Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2026-01-01 was Class 4 over 1400m. RAGING RAPIDS, ridden by B Avdulla and trained by J Size, won, with BEAUTY VIVA second and SUNDAY'S SERENADE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 1.9 favourite BETTER AND BETTER finished 12th.

Result

Official · 1:22.10
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 5 RAGING RAPIDS Closed strongly TT 1:22.10 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Avdulla · J Size 12 9.9
2 4 BEAUTY VIVA Closed strongly TT H Bentley · A S Cruz 11 12.0 N
3 1 SUNDAY'S SERENADE Closed strongly B/TT Z Purton · J Richards 10 11.0 3/4
4 3 THE HEIR Closed strongly J Orman · C Fownes 8 15.0 1-1/4
5 8 GOLDEN DREAM Closed strongly CP-/B1 L Ferraris · D A Hayes 7 15.0 2-1/2
6 9 PROUD BOX Led early TT H Bowman · W Y So 2 8.4 2-1/2
7 7 CIRCUIT GOGO Closed strongly M F Poon · D J Hall 9 44.0 2-3/4
8 14 WIN SPEED V1 K Teetan · B Crawford 5 16.0 3-1/2
9 2 SEA CHARIOT TT K C Leung · W K Mo 1 27.0 4-1/2
10 11 GOLDEN FORTUNE D Probert · K L Man 3 80.0 4-3/4
11 12 THE ALL ROUNDER Closed strongly B C L Chau · P C Ng 14 99.0 5
12 10 BETTER AND BETTER H C Y Ho · F C Lor 4 1.9 6-1/4
13 13 WINNING DIAMOND M Guyon · C H Yip 13 32.0 8-1/4
14 6 STAR GLOW B M L Yeung · K W Lui 6 91.0 17-3/4
0 FORERUNNER TT · W K Mo
0 SUPER LOVE TT · C H Yip

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. RAGING RAPIDS2. BEAUTY VIVA+0.05L3. SUNDAY'S SERENADE+0.75L4. THE HEIR+1.25L5. GOLDEN DREAM+2.5L6. PROUD BOX+2.5L7. CIRCUIT GOGO+2.75L8. WIN SPEED+3.5L9. SEA CHARIOT+4.5L10. GOLDEN FORTUNE+4.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick BETTER AND BETTER (22.3%) finished 12th — the winner RAGING RAPIDS was rated #5. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 10 BETTER AND BETTER 22.3% 4.48 12
2 1 SUNDAY'S SERENADE 20.0% 5.00 3
3 9 PROUD BOX 9.4% 10.67 6
4 3 THE HEIR 8.2% 12.17 4
5 5 RAGING RAPIDS 7.8% 12.89 1
6 4 BEAUTY VIVA 7.2% 13.82 2
7 8 GOLDEN DREAM 6.3% 15.89 5
8 14 WIN SPEED 5.4% 18.40 8
9 13 WINNING DIAMOND 4.1% 24.20 13
10 7 CIRCUIT GOGO 3.2% 31.08 7
11 6 STAR GLOW 1.6% 61.60 14
12 12 THE ALL ROUNDER 1.6% 63.39 11
13 2 SEA CHARIOT 1.4% 69.93 9
14 11 GOLDEN FORTUNE 1.4% 71.20 10
BETTER AND BETTERSUNDAY'S SERENADEPROUD BOXTHE HEIRRAGING RAPIDS — wonBEAUTY VIVAGOLDEN DREAMWIN SPEEDWINNING DIAMONDCIRCUIT GOGOSTAR GLOWTHE ALL ROUNDERSEA CHARIOTGOLDEN FORTUNE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 99.5

PLACE

1 31.5

4 31

5 31

QUINELLA

4,5 403.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,4 171.5

1,5 123

4,5 117

FORECAST

5,4 875

TIERCE

5,4,1 7,757

TRIO

1,4,5 1,202

FIRST 4

1,3,4,5 1,551

QUARTET

5,4,1,3 38,227

All pools (1 more)

5TH DOUBLE

13/4 414

13/5 3,010.5