Sha Tin · 2026-01-01 · 09:21
Race 10
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2026-01-01 was Class 3 over 1400m. SIX PACK, ridden by L Ferraris and trained by D J Whyte, won, with KA YING ATTACK second and GHORGAN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.4 favourite WITH A SMILE finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | SIX PACK Closed strongly B 1:21.72 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 2 | 7.4 | — |
| 2 | 5 | KA YING ATTACK Led early B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 4 | 5.8 | N |
| 3 | 11 | GHORGAN Closed strongly H/TT M Guyon · K L Man | M Guyon | K L Man | 9 | 14.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 9 | WITH A SMILE TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 1 | 2.4 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 1 | BEAUTY ALLIANCE Closed strongly D B McMonagle · J Size | D B McMonagle | J Size | 12 | 16.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 7 | GUMMY GUMMY CP1 R Kingscote · C W Chang | R Kingscote | C W Chang | 8 | 86.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 6 | CHARMING LEGEND Closed strongly TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 5 | 18.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 8 | KEEN MOLLY Closed strongly TT K Teetan · D Eustace | K Teetan | D Eustace | 10 | 25.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 10 | ARMOR GOLDEN EAGLE A Atzeni · M Newnham | A Atzeni | M Newnham | 7 | 22.0 | 7 |
| 10 | 13 | EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS XB H Bentley · B Crawford | H Bentley | B Crawford | 3 | 7.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 14 | VERY GRATEFUL CP-/H-/B2/TT K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 14 | 58.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 4 | CLASS Closed strongly B-/XB-/TT- C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 11 | 42.0 | — |
| 12 | 12 | LUCKY TOGETHER Closed strongly TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 6 | 76.0 | — |
| 14 | 2 | NATURAL NUMBERS B- B Avdulla · Y S Tsui | B Avdulla | Y S Tsui | 13 | 98.0 | 8-1/2 |
| — | 0 | NOVA KNIGHT CP1 · D A Hayes | — | D A Hayes | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | THRIVING BROTHERS TT M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | WITH A SMILE | 38.0% | 2.63 | 4 |
| 2 | 8 | KEEN MOLLY | 9.2% | 10.93 | 8 |
| 3 | 3 | SIX PACK | 8.7% | 11.47 | 1 |
| 4 | 4 | CLASS | 6.7% | 14.98 | 12 |
| 5 | 5 | KA YING ATTACK | 5.9% | 16.89 | 2 |
| 6 | 1 | BEAUTY ALLIANCE | 5.3% | 18.81 | 5 |
| 7 | 13 | EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS | 5.2% | 19.13 | 10 |
| 8 | 11 | GHORGAN | 5.0% | 19.81 | 3 |
| 9 | 6 | CHARMING LEGEND | 4.6% | 21.97 | 7 |
| 10 | 10 | ARMOR GOLDEN EAGLE | 4.2% | 23.62 | 9 |
| 11 | 14 | VERY GRATEFUL | 2.5% | 40.34 | 11 |
| 12 | 2 | NATURAL NUMBERS | 2.2% | 46.40 | 14 |
| 13 | 7 | GUMMY GUMMY | 1.7% | 58.55 | 6 |
| 14 | 12 | LUCKY TOGETHER | 0.9% | 117.35 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 74.5
PLACE
3 21.5
5 20
11 36.5
QUINELLA
3,5 203.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 66.5
3,11 150
5,11 129
FORECAST
3,5 457
TIERCE
3,5,11 4,141
TRIO
3,5,11 696
FIRST 4
3,5,9,11 333
QUARTET
3,5,11,9 10,651
All pools (1 more)
9TH DOUBLE
14/3 234
14/5 42.5