Sha Tin · 2026-01-01 · 08:11
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2026-01-01 was Group 3 over 1400m. STORM RIDER, ridden by K Teetan and trained by D A Hayes, won, with DANCING CODE second and PATCH OF THETA third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.1 favourite PACKING HERMOD finished 9th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | STORM RIDER Closed strongly B- 1:20.62 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 9 | 9.7 | — |
| 2 | 9 | DANCING CODE Closed strongly TT A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 12 | 19.0 | SH |
| 3 | 2 | PATCH OF THETA Closed strongly XB H Bowman · K W Lui | H Bowman | K W Lui | 11 | 11.0 | N |
| 4 | 10 | SKY TRUST Led early TT M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 7 | 11.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 1 | TOMODACHI KOKOROE BO/TT H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 1 | 10.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 7 | AERIS NOVA Closed strongly B/XB/TT K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 4 | 4.9 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 12 | GUSTOSISIMO TT A Atzeni · A S Cruz | A Atzeni | A S Cruz | 5 | 25.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 4 | LIGHT YEARS CHARM Closed strongly Z Purton · D Eustace | Z Purton | D Eustace | 6 | 4.8 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 3 | PACKING HERMOD V M Guyon · K W Lui | M Guyon | K W Lui | 3 | 4.1 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 5 | BEAUTY ETERNAL PC-/E B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 10 | 27.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 6 | JOHANNES BRAHMS Closed strongly TT1 M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 8 | 18.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 8 | CAPITAL DELIGHT B- M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 2 | 92.0 | 15-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | LIGHT YEARS CHARM | 18.1% | 5.54 | 8 |
| 2 | 3 | PACKING HERMOD | 14.5% | 6.92 | 9 |
| 3 | 7 | AERIS NOVA | 13.4% | 7.48 | 6 |
| 4 | 10 | SKY TRUST | 8.8% | 11.37 | 4 |
| 5 | 2 | PATCH OF THETA | 8.4% | 11.87 | 3 |
| 6 | 1 | TOMODACHI KOKOROE | 8.0% | 12.48 | 5 |
| 7 | 11 | STORM RIDER | 6.9% | 14.57 | 1 |
| 8 | 12 | GUSTOSISIMO | 6.8% | 14.63 | 7 |
| 9 | 9 | DANCING CODE | 5.1% | 19.49 | 2 |
| 10 | 8 | CAPITAL DELIGHT | 3.8% | 26.16 | 12 |
| 11 | 6 | JOHANNES BRAHMS | 3.3% | 30.52 | 11 |
| 12 | 5 | BEAUTY ETERNAL | 2.9% | 33.99 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 97
PLACE
2 30.5
9 48
11 34
QUINELLA
9,11 922
QUINELLA PLACE
2,9 307.5
2,11 163.5
9,11 243.5
FORECAST
11,9 1,390
TIERCE
11,9,2 15,538
TRIO
2,9,11 2,737
FIRST 4
2,9,10,11 6,929
QUARTET
11,9,2,10 149,448
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
1/9 141.5
1/11 622