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Sha Tin · 2026-01-01 · 16:08

Race 8

Group 3 1400m Course B+2 12 runners

Result

Official · 1:20.62
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 11 STORM RIDER Closed strongly B- 1:20.62 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · D A Hayes 9 9.7 —
2 9 DANCING CODE Closed strongly TT A Badel · C Fownes 12 19.0 SH
3 2 PATCH OF THETA Closed strongly XB H Bowman · K W Lui 11 11.0 N
4 10 SKY TRUST Led early TT M Chadwick · C Fownes 7 11.0 1
5 1 TOMODACHI KOKOROE BO/TT H Bentley · D A Hayes 1 10.0 1-1/2
6 7 AERIS NOVA Closed strongly B/XB/TT K C Leung · W K Mo 4 4.9 2-1/2
7 12 GUSTOSISIMO TT A Atzeni · A S Cruz 5 25.0 2-1/2
8 4 LIGHT YEARS CHARM Closed strongly Z Purton · D Eustace 6 4.8 2-3/4
9 3 PACKING HERMOD V M Guyon · K W Lui 3 4.1 4-1/2
10 5 BEAUTY ETERNAL PC-/E B Avdulla · J Size 10 27.0 4-1/2
11 6 JOHANNES BRAHMS Closed strongly TT1 M F Poon · P C Ng 8 18.0 6-3/4
12 8 CAPITAL DELIGHT B- M L Yeung · C Fownes 2 92.0 15-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2026-01-01 was Group 3 over 1400m. STORM RIDER, ridden by K Teetan and trained by D A Hayes, won, with DANCING CODE second and PATCH OF THETA third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.1 favourite PACKING HERMOD finished 9th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. STORM RIDER—2. DANCING CODE+0.1L3. PATCH OF THETA+0.05L4. SKY TRUST+1L5. TOMODACHI KOKOROE+1.5L6. AERIS NOVA+2.5L7. GUSTOSISIMO+2.5L8. LIGHT YEARS CHARM+2.75L9. PACKING HERMOD+4.5L10. BEAUTY ETERNAL+4.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick LIGHT YEARS CHARM (18.1%) finished 8th — the winner STORM RIDER was rated #7. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 4 LIGHT YEARS CHARM 18.1% 5.54 8
2 3 PACKING HERMOD 14.5% 6.92 9
3 7 AERIS NOVA 13.4% 7.48 6
4 10 SKY TRUST 8.8% 11.37 4
5 2 PATCH OF THETA 8.4% 11.87 3
6 1 TOMODACHI KOKOROE 8.0% 12.48 5
7 11 STORM RIDER 6.9% 14.57 1
8 12 GUSTOSISIMO 6.8% 14.63 7
9 9 DANCING CODE 5.1% 19.49 2
10 8 CAPITAL DELIGHT 3.8% 26.16 12
11 6 JOHANNES BRAHMS 3.3% 30.52 11
12 5 BEAUTY ETERNAL 2.9% 33.99 10
LIGHT YEARS CHARMPACKING HERMODAERIS NOVASKY TRUSTPATCH OF THETATOMODACHI KOKOROESTORM RIDER — wonGUSTOSISIMODANCING CODECAPITAL DELIGHTJOHANNES BRAHMSBEAUTY ETERNAL

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

11 97

PLACE

2 30.5

9 48

11 34

QUINELLA

9,11 922

QUINELLA PLACE

2,9 307.5

2,11 163.5

9,11 243.5

FORECAST

11,9 1,390

TIERCE

11,9,2 15,538

TRIO

2,9,11 2,737

FIRST 4

2,9,10,11 6,929

QUARTET

11,9,2,10 149,448

All pools (1 more)

7TH DOUBLE

1/9 141.5

1/11 622