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Sha Tin · 2026-01-01 · 06:06

Race 4

Class 4 1200m Course B+2 14 runners

Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2026-01-01 was Class 4 over 1200m. SMART GOLF, ridden by H Bentley and trained by F C Lor, won, with SPEEDY SMARTIE second and AMAZING PARTNERS third. The 2.9 favourite SPEEDY SMARTIE finished 2nd.

Result

Official · 1:09.13
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 6 SMART GOLF TT 1:09.13 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · F C Lor 11 3.9
2 12 SPEEDY SMARTIE K Teetan · B Crawford 4 2.9 2
3 5 AMAZING PARTNERS TT C Y Ho · K W Lui 13 6.3 3-1/2
4 2 LIGHT YEARS GLORY CP/TT B Avdulla · W K Mo 1 13.0 4-1/2
5 1 FLOWING RICHES CP M L Yeung · K H Ting 10 20.0 5
6 4 ADORABLE SMILE TT M Guyon · D Eustace 7 41.0 5-1/4
7 3 ALABAMA SONG H D B McMonagle · J Size 14 48.0 6-1/4
8 8 SUPREME FEELING L Ferraris · D A Hayes 8 38.0 6-1/4
9 7 SPEEDY PATCH K C Leung · K L Man 2 23.0 6-1/2
10 14 SPARKLE AND GOLD TT A Atzeni · C H Yip 3 20.0 6-1/2
11 9 VICTOR SUPREME C L Chau · P F Yiu 9 9.9 7-1/2
12 11 GOOD FORTUNE B/TT M F Poon · P C Ng 12 21.0 7-1/2
13 10 ZEPHYR TT M Chadwick · M Newnham 6 99.0 8-3/4
14 13 SERGEANT PEPPER H T Mo · Y S Tsui 5 78.0 16-1/2
0 CALIFORNIA DEEPLY B/TT · A S Cruz
0 LAKESHORE HERO · D J Hall

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SMART GOLF2. SPEEDY SMARTIE+2L3. AMAZING PARTNERS+3.5L4. LIGHT YEARS GLORY+4.5L5. FLOWING RICHES+5L6. ADORABLE SMILE+5.25L7. ALABAMA SONG+6.25L8. SUPREME FEELING+6.25L9. SPEEDY PATCH+6.5L10. SPARKLE AND GOLD+6.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick AMAZING PARTNERS (17.4%) finished 3rd — the winner SMART GOLF was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 5 AMAZING PARTNERS 17.4% 5.76 3
2 12 SPEEDY SMARTIE 16.7% 5.98 2
3 6 SMART GOLF 13.0% 7.71 1
4 8 SUPREME FEELING 11.3% 8.86 8
5 9 VICTOR SUPREME 7.7% 13.00 11
6 1 FLOWING RICHES 6.8% 14.65 5
7 14 SPARKLE AND GOLD 6.6% 15.08 10
8 7 SPEEDY PATCH 5.4% 18.46 9
9 2 LIGHT YEARS GLORY 4.3% 23.28 4
10 3 ALABAMA SONG 3.2% 31.67 7
11 11 GOOD FORTUNE 2.8% 35.14 12
12 13 SERGEANT PEPPER 2.0% 49.39 14
13 10 ZEPHYR 1.5% 67.51 13
14 4 ADORABLE SMILE 1.3% 76.34 6
AMAZING PARTNERSSPEEDY SMARTIESMART GOLF — wonSUPREME FEELINGVICTOR SUPREMEFLOWING RICHESSPARKLE AND GOLDSPEEDY PATCHLIGHT YEARS GLORYALABAMA SONGGOOD FORTUNESERGEANT PEPPERZEPHYRADORABLE SMILE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

6 39

PLACE

5 19.5

6 16

12 13

QUINELLA

6,12 53.5

QUINELLA PLACE

5,6 50.5

5,12 34.5

6,12 29

FORECAST

6,12 116

TIERCE

6,12,5 425

TRIO

5,6,12 102

FIRST 4

2,5,6,12 159

QUARTET

6,12,5,2 2,645

All pools (1 more)

3RD DOUBLE

6/6 99

6/12 20