沙田 · 2026-01-01 · 06:36
第 5場
2026-01-01沙田第5場，Class 4，途程2000米。由A Badel策騎、C H Yip訓練的YIU CHEUNG VICTORY勝出。VOLCANIC SPARK獲得亞軍；PACKING HURRICANE獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。4.4倍大熱門DOUBLE WIN跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | YIU CHEUNG VICTORY 一路領先 V 2:03.58 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 6 | 31.0 | — |
| 2 | 12 | VOLCANIC SPARK 後段發力 B R Kingscote · P F Yiu | R Kingscote | P F Yiu | 9 | 8.1 | N |
| 3 | 6 | PACKING HURRICANE 後段發力 B/TT D B McMonagle · P C Ng | D B McMonagle | P C Ng | 5 | 8.5 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 7 | SERANGOON 後段發力 B/TT H Bentley · A S Cruz | H Bentley | A S Cruz | 4 | 14.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 5 | HAKKA RADIANCE TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 2 | 5.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 2 | DOUBLE WIN 後段發力 V/XB/TT C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 1 | 4.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 8 | FOREVER GLORIOUS V/XB L Ferraris · B Crawford | L Ferraris | B Crawford | 8 | 16.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 8 | 14 | PERFECT PAIRING 後段發力 B M L Yeung · J Size | M L Yeung | J Size | 14 | 21.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 9 | 11 | MANAGEMENT FOLKS 後段發力 K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 3 | 9.3 | 2-3/4 |
| 10 | 9 | VIVA TASTE TT M F Poon · K H Ting | M F Poon | K H Ting | 7 | 34.0 | 3 |
| 11 | 3 | SHARPEN BRIGHT B M Guyon · Y S Tsui | M Guyon | Y S Tsui | 10 | 13.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 10 | GLORIOUS RYDER B/TT K C Leung · D Eustace | K C Leung | D Eustace | 12 | 57.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 13 | 1 | SUPREME MASTERMIND H-/XB/TT Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 13 | 8.7 | 7-3/4 |
| 14 | 4 | CHAIN OF GOLD BO/XB/TT J Orman · W K Mo | J Orman | W K Mo | 11 | 36.0 | 16-1/2 |
| — | 0 | NEARLY FINE TT · C Fownes | — | C Fownes | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | STAR BROSE CP/TT · D A Hayes | — | D A Hayes | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | HAKKA RADIANCE | 17.2% | 5.80 | 5 |
| 2 | 1 | SUPREME MASTERMIND | 10.8% | 9.30 | 13 |
| 3 | 2 | DOUBLE WIN | 10.3% | 9.70 | 6 |
| 4 | 11 | MANAGEMENT FOLKS | 8.3% | 12.04 | 9 |
| 5 | 7 | SERANGOON | 7.8% | 12.74 | 4 |
| 6 | 3 | SHARPEN BRIGHT | 7.1% | 14.15 | 11 |
| 7 | 14 | PERFECT PAIRING | 6.3% | 15.91 | 8 |
| 8 | 6 | PACKING HURRICANE | 6.1% | 16.34 | 3 |
| 9 | 12 | VOLCANIC SPARK | 5.6% | 17.79 | 2 |
| 10 | 4 | CHAIN OF GOLD | 5.2% | 19.27 | 14 |
| 11 | 9 | VIVA TASTE | 4.7% | 21.39 | 10 |
| 12 | 13 | YIU CHEUNG VICTORY | 4.2% | 23.61 | 1 |
| 13 | 8 | FOREVER GLORIOUS | 3.4% | 29.82 | 7 |
| 14 | 10 | GLORIOUS RYDER | 3.0% | 33.37 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
13 315
PLACE
6 30
12 30.5
13 91.5
QUINELLA
12,13 1,253
QUINELLA PLACE
6,12 115
6,13 405.5
12,13 392
FORECAST
13,12 2,597
TIERCE
13,12,6 25,703
TRIO
6,12,13 3,248
FIRST 4
6,7,12,13 8,137
QUARTET
13,12,6,7 277,656
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST TREBLE
6/6/12 227
6/6/13 2,812
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
5,6,12/6,12,13 31,281
4TH DOUBLE
6/12 119.5
6/13 2,215