沙田 · 2026-01-01 · 08:45
第 9場
2026-01-01沙田第9場，Class 3，途程1200米。由R Kingscote策騎、P F Yiu訓練的RISING FORCE勝出。CROSSBORDERPEGASUS獲得亞軍；HAPPY INDEX獲得季軍。2.6倍大熱門CROSSBORDERPEGASUS跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | RISING FORCE 1:08.96 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） R Kingscote · P F Yiu | R Kingscote | P F Yiu | 14 | 3.3 | — |
| 2 | 2 | CROSSBORDERPEGASUS BO-/TT H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 12 | 2.6 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 6 | HAPPY INDEX B- C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 9 | 14.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 9 | PEGAS TT M Chadwick · Y S Tsui | M Chadwick | Y S Tsui | 8 | 56.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 5 | AERODYNAMICS TT1 L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 11 | 74.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 12 | NEVER TOO SOON CP-/B1 A Atzeni · D J Hall | A Atzeni | D J Hall | 6 | 67.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 13 | ETERNAL RICHNESS K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 7 | 139.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 7 | A TIME FOR US TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 4 | 18.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 11 | MIGHTY COMMANDER TT D Probert · C Fownes | D Probert | C Fownes | 10 | 14.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 10 | LET'S HAVE FUN CP M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 2 | 64.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 3 | MATTERS MOST B/TT E C W Wong · C S Shum | E C W Wong | C S Shum | 13 | 11.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 8 | LUCKY CANDY SR-/H1/TT1 K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 5 | 29.0 | 7 |
| 13 | 1 | CALL ME GLORIOUS H/P/XB J Orman · C W Chang | J Orman | C W Chang | 1 | 31.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 14 | 4 | SAVVY BRILLIANT H-/XB/TT Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 3 | 8.6 | 24-3/4 |
| — | 0 | LUCKY EIGHT M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | SUPER EXPRESS TT · J Size | — | J Size | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | CROSSBORDERPEGASUS | 22.8% | 4.38 | 2 |
| 2 | 4 | SAVVY BRILLIANT | 13.7% | 7.32 | 14 |
| 3 | 3 | MATTERS MOST | 13.0% | 7.69 | 11 |
| 4 | 7 | A TIME FOR US | 7.7% | 12.93 | 8 |
| 5 | 5 | AERODYNAMICS | 6.3% | 15.80 | 5 |
| 6 | 14 | RISING FORCE | 6.2% | 16.12 | 1 |
| 7 | 11 | MIGHTY COMMANDER | 6.2% | 16.14 | 9 |
| 8 | 12 | NEVER TOO SOON | 4.9% | 20.31 | 6 |
| 9 | 6 | HAPPY INDEX | 4.4% | 22.92 | 3 |
| 10 | 8 | LUCKY CANDY | 4.2% | 23.71 | 12 |
| 11 | 9 | PEGAS | 3.3% | 30.60 | 4 |
| 12 | 1 | CALL ME GLORIOUS | 3.0% | 33.11 | 13 |
| 13 | 10 | LET'S HAVE FUN | 2.7% | 36.43 | 10 |
| 14 | 13 | ETERNAL RICHNESS | 1.5% | 66.60 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
14 33.5
PLACE
2 13.5
6 34.5
14 14.5
QUINELLA
2,14 48
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 65
2,14 23
6,14 79.5
FORECAST
14,2 100
TIERCE
14,2,6 796
TRIO
2,6,14 187
FIRST 4
2,6,9,14 1,753
QUARTET
14,2,6,9 18,562
全部彩池（另 2 項）
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
2,9,11/2,6,14 148,273
8TH DOUBLE
11/2 59.5
11/14 909