沙田 · 2026-02-19 · 07:35
PROSPERITY HANDICAP
第 7場
2026-02-19沙田第7場「PROSPERITY HANDICAP」，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由A Atzeni策騎、P C Ng訓練的AEROINVINCIBLE勝出。JUST FOLLOW ME獲得亞軍；GALLANT EPOCH獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。頭馬以3.2倍大熱姿態勝出。
場地詳情及賽日變動（2）
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | AEROINVINCIBLE 一路領先 H/TT 1:21.38 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 2 | 3.2 | — |
| 2 | 11 | JUST FOLLOW ME 後段發力 CP/XB/TT K Teetan · B Crawford | K Teetan | B Crawford | 5 | 6.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 1 | GALLANT EPOCH B/TT M Guyon · K W Lui | M Guyon | K W Lui | 10 | 8.8 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 9 | LUCKY MCQUEEN H/TT M F Poon · W K Mo | M F Poon | W K Mo | 6 | 13.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 12 | GOLDEN LUCK B/TT C Y Ho · K L Man | C Y Ho | K L Man | 1 | 10.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 5 | GORGEOUS VICTORY TT Y L Chung · C S Shum | Y L Chung | C S Shum | 4 | 29.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 2 | GOOD LUCK BABE B/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 3 | 5.1 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 14 | GLORIOUS RYDER 後段發力 B/TT A Badel · D Eustace | A Badel | D Eustace | 11 | 150.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 7 | CIRCUIT MARSHAL 後段發力 TT1 C L Chau · M Newnham | C L Chau | M Newnham | 9 | 24.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 13 | MAZING GRACE H/TT M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 7 | 68.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 8 | BROWNNEEDSFURTHER 後段發力 TT J Orman · D J Hall | J Orman | D J Hall | 14 | 24.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 6 | CHATER FLASH CP L Ferraris · D A Hayes | L Ferraris | D A Hayes | 13 | 30.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 13 | 3 | OLDTOWN TT D B McMonagle · W Y So | D B McMonagle | W Y So | 12 | 56.0 | 13-1/4 |
| 14 | 10 | AMAZING FUN TT H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 8 | 12.0 | 25-1/2 |
| — | 0 | ALABAMA SONG H · J Size | — | J Size | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | SURE JOYFUL TT · P F Yiu | — | P F Yiu | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | AEROINVINCIBLE | 27.1% | 3.69 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | GOOD LUCK BABE | 15.2% | 6.58 | 7 |
| 3 | 1 | GALLANT EPOCH | 14.9% | 6.73 | 3 |
| 4 | 10 | AMAZING FUN | 7.0% | 14.37 | 14 |
| 5 | 9 | LUCKY MCQUEEN | 6.6% | 15.17 | 4 |
| 6 | 12 | GOLDEN LUCK | 4.8% | 20.74 | 5 |
| 7 | 8 | BROWNNEEDSFURTHER | 4.7% | 21.17 | 11 |
| 8 | 3 | OLDTOWN | 4.1% | 24.39 | 13 |
| 9 | 7 | CIRCUIT MARSHAL | 4.1% | 24.44 | 9 |
| 10 | 11 | JUST FOLLOW ME | 3.8% | 26.15 | 2 |
| 11 | 13 | MAZING GRACE | 3.1% | 32.18 | 10 |
| 12 | 6 | CHATER FLASH | 2.3% | 43.02 | 12 |
| 13 | 14 | GLORIOUS RYDER | 1.4% | 69.28 | 8 |
| 14 | 5 | GORGEOUS VICTORY | 0.8% | 122.34 | 6 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 32.5
PLACE
1 25.5
4 16
11 23.5
QUINELLA
4,11 123
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 62.5
1,11 100.5
4,11 47
FORECAST
4,11 239
TIERCE
4,11,1 2,030
TRIO
1,4,11 420
FIRST 4
1,4,9,11 722
QUARTET
4,11,1,9 12,484
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
9,10,11/1,4,11 8,454
6TH DOUBLE
10/4 222.5
10/11 90
TRIPLE TRIO
1,3,14/9,10,11/1,4,11 180,691
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,3,14/9,10,11/Any Combination 352