沙田 · 2026-02-19 · 05:30
LUCKY STAR HANDICAP
第 3場
2026-02-19沙田第3場「LUCKY STAR HANDICAP」，Class 4，途程1600米，跑道評為GOOD。由M F Poon策騎、C W Chang訓練的FLYING BOOM勝出。GLORIOUS SUCCESS獲得亞軍；SMILING FALCON獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。5.4倍大熱門GLORIASTAR跑獲第13名。
場地詳情及賽日變動（3）
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | FLYING BOOM 後段發力 XB1/TT- 1:35.14 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 3 | 9.9 | — |
| 2 | 6 | GLORIOUS SUCCESS 後段發力 TT C L Chau · D Eustace | C L Chau | D Eustace | 1 | 12.0 | SH |
| 3 | 13 | SMILING FALCON 後段發力 CP R Kingscote · K H Ting | R Kingscote | K H Ting | 4 | 14.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 3 | MASTER TRILLION 後段發力 B- K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 2 | 21.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 7 | VICTOR SUPREME 後段發力 V D B McMonagle · P F Yiu | D B McMonagle | P F Yiu | 7 | 10.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 14 | DASHING MAURISON 後段發力 CP H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 9 | 7.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 5 | FOREVER FOLKS 後段發力 B/TT J Orman · C S Shum | J Orman | C S Shum | 6 | 14.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 9 | TIME TO FIRE CP Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 13 | 5.7 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 11 | PING HAI COMET 早段領放 H K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 11 | 30.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 2 | COLOURFUL GAN CP-/B2 B Avdulla · D J Whyte | B Avdulla | D J Whyte | 8 | 109.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 4 | FLOOF M L Yeung · B Crawford | M L Yeung | B Crawford | 5 | 23.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 12 | 1 | BUCEPHALAS XB/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 12 | 8.7 | 5-1/2 |
| 13 | 12 | GLORIASTAR L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 10 | 5.4 | 6-1/4 |
| 14 | 8 | PEARL OF PANG'S B/TT A Atzeni · K L Man | A Atzeni | K L Man | 14 | 18.0 | 30-1/2 |
| — | 0 | WINNING DIAMOND · C H Yip | — | C H Yip | — | — | — |
| — | 4 | FORZA TORO TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 5 | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | TIME TO FIRE | 15.2% | 6.56 | 8 |
| 2 | 6 | GLORIOUS SUCCESS | 12.2% | 8.22 | 2 |
| 3 | 5 | FOREVER FOLKS | 11.1% | 8.99 | 7 |
| 4 | 12 | GLORIASTAR | 8.4% | 11.84 | 13 |
| 5 | 7 | VICTOR SUPREME | 7.9% | 12.66 | 5 |
| 6 | 10 | FLYING BOOM | 7.7% | 12.94 | 1 |
| 7 | 14 | DASHING MAURISON | 7.5% | 13.35 | 6 |
| 8 | 1 | BUCEPHALAS | 6.7% | 14.91 | 12 |
| 9 | 13 | SMILING FALCON | 5.3% | 18.70 | 3 |
| 10 | 11 | PING HAI COMET | 4.8% | 20.68 | 9 |
| 11 | 8 | PEARL OF PANG'S | 4.2% | 23.68 | 14 |
| 12 | 3 | MASTER TRILLION | 3.8% | 26.44 | 4 |
| 13 | 4 | FLOOF | 3.4% | 29.37 | 11 |
| 14 | 2 | COLOURFUL GAN | 1.6% | 62.13 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 99
PLACE
6 41.5
10 29
13 44.5
QUINELLA
6,10 497
QUINELLA PLACE
6,10 165
6,13 260
10,13 210.5
FORECAST
10,6 947
TIERCE
10,6,13 8,785
TRIO
6,10,13 1,874
FIRST 4
3,6,10,13 5,633
QUARTET
10,6,13,3 111,843
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
6,9,14/6,10,13 173,465
2ND DOUBLE
6/6 337
6/10 1,982.5