沙田 · 2026-02-19 · 06:30
FAT CHOI HANDICAP
第 5場
2026-02-19沙田第5場「FAT CHOI HANDICAP」，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由M L Yeung策騎、C S Shum訓練的CIRCUIT CHAMPION勝出。CROSSBORDERDUDE獲得亞軍；RIDING HIGH獲得季軍。頭馬以3.1倍大熱姿態勝出。
場地詳情
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | CIRCUIT CHAMPION CP/TT 1:09.12 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M L Yeung · C S Shum | M L Yeung | C S Shum | 1 | 3.1 | — |
| 2 | 1 | CROSSBORDERDUDE B Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 3 | 3.1 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 14 | RIDING HIGH CP A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 9 | 7.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 5 | TEAM TEAM FOLKS C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 5 | 16.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 11 | THUNDER PRINCE XB-/TT- H Bowman · J Richards | H Bowman | J Richards | 11 | 15.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 12 | BULLISH PRIDE K Teetan · B Crawford | K Teetan | B Crawford | 2 | 67.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 7 | VOYAGE CAPTAIN TT1 M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 8 | 12.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 9 | LAKESHORE HERO D B McMonagle · D J Hall | D B McMonagle | D J Hall | 12 | 33.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 10 | SUNNY Q TT H Bentley · W Y So | H Bentley | W Y So | 13 | 20.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 4 | MARVEL AND GOLD E/TT B Avdulla · C H Yip | B Avdulla | C H Yip | 4 | 156.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 13 | ROMAN CROWN B/TT A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 7 | 12.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 8 | COMET RADIANCE TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 10 | 33.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 13 | 2 | FORZA LEADER B1/TT J Orman · Y S Tsui | J Orman | Y S Tsui | 6 | 172.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 14 | 6 | GOLDEN WIN K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 14 | 107.0 | 11-3/4 |
| — | 0 | SEA CHARIOT TT · W K Mo | — | W K Mo | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | DAILY TROPHY TT · C Fownes | — | C Fownes | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | CROSSBORDERDUDE | 49.3% | 2.03 | 2 |
| 2 | 3 | CIRCUIT CHAMPION | 10.0% | 9.99 | 1 |
| 3 | 5 | TEAM TEAM FOLKS | 7.3% | 13.75 | 4 |
| 4 | 11 | THUNDER PRINCE | 5.5% | 18.04 | 5 |
| 5 | 13 | ROMAN CROWN | 4.6% | 21.72 | 11 |
| 6 | 9 | LAKESHORE HERO | 4.5% | 22.08 | 8 |
| 7 | 14 | RIDING HIGH | 4.2% | 24.00 | 3 |
| 8 | 7 | VOYAGE CAPTAIN | 4.0% | 24.90 | 7 |
| 9 | 10 | SUNNY Q | 3.4% | 29.14 | 9 |
| 10 | 8 | COMET RADIANCE | 2.3% | 43.56 | 12 |
| 11 | 4 | MARVEL AND GOLD | 1.4% | 70.35 | 10 |
| 12 | 12 | BULLISH PRIDE | 1.3% | 74.30 | 6 |
| 13 | 6 | GOLDEN WIN | 1.1% | 93.77 | 14 |
| 14 | 2 | FORZA LEADER | 1.0% | 102.41 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 31
PLACE
1 14
3 14
14 22.5
QUINELLA
1,3 52
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 24
1,14 40.5
3,14 46
FORECAST
3,1 115
TIERCE
3,1,14 504
TRIO
1,3,14 133
FIRST 4
1,3,5,14 385
QUARTET
3,1,14,5 5,013
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST TREBLE
10/7/1 346
10/7/3 2,419
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,7,9/1,3,14 49,775
4TH DOUBLE
7/1 34.5
7/3 208