沙田 · 2026-02-19 · 06:00
FAT CHOI HANDICAP
第 4場
2026-02-19沙田第4場「FAT CHOI HANDICAP」，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由J Orman策騎、K W Lui訓練的BABY SAKURA勝出。ELITE GOLF獲得亞軍；RUSSET GLOW獲得季軍。3.2倍大熱門BETTER AND BETTER跑獲第4名。
場地詳情
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | BABY SAKURA TT1 1:09.68 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Orman · K W Lui | J Orman | K W Lui | 11 | 6.0 | — |
| 2 | 1 | ELITE GOLF H Bentley · W Y So | H Bentley | W Y So | 14 | 6.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 9 | RUSSET GLOW TT L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 1 | 77.0 | 3 |
| 4 | 14 | BETTER AND BETTER H/P1/TT M Guyon · F C Lor | M Guyon | F C Lor | 7 | 3.2 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 11 | SKY PHOENIX K Teetan · B Crawford | K Teetan | B Crawford | 6 | 142.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 13 | SO MY FOLKS CP/XB/TT B Avdulla · C S Shum | B Avdulla | C S Shum | 9 | 20.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 12 | KIAMA E-/P-/H1 D B McMonagle · J Size | D B McMonagle | J Size | 3 | 16.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 10 | SWEET BRIAR V/TT R Kingscote · K H Ting | R Kingscote | K H Ting | 2 | 71.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 4 | MASTER PHOENIX B C Y Ho · D Eustace | C Y Ho | D Eustace | 8 | 15.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 8 | QUICK MONEY XB/TT C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 13 | 77.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 11 | 3 | NOVA KNIGHT CP-/B1 M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 12 | 39.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 12 | 2 | ETERNAL RICHNESS A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 5 | 139.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 13 | 6 | GOOD LUCK HAPPY TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 10 | 3.7 | 10-1/4 |
| 14 | 5 | SUPERB BOY TT H Bowman · Y S Tsui | H Bowman | Y S Tsui | 4 | 16.0 | 11-1/4 |
| — | 0 | HEALTHY PONY H1 · C W Chang | — | C W Chang | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | PRIDE BELIEVER · D J Hall | — | D J Hall | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | GOOD LUCK HAPPY | 32.0% | 3.13 | 13 |
| 2 | 7 | BABY SAKURA | 12.3% | 8.11 | 1 |
| 3 | 14 | BETTER AND BETTER | 10.3% | 9.72 | 4 |
| 4 | 4 | MASTER PHOENIX | 9.6% | 10.42 | 9 |
| 5 | 12 | KIAMA | 7.7% | 13.03 | 7 |
| 6 | 1 | ELITE GOLF | 6.9% | 14.53 | 2 |
| 7 | 5 | SUPERB BOY | 4.2% | 23.69 | 14 |
| 8 | 9 | RUSSET GLOW | 4.0% | 24.95 | 3 |
| 9 | 13 | SO MY FOLKS | 3.9% | 25.73 | 6 |
| 10 | 8 | QUICK MONEY | 3.0% | 33.26 | 10 |
| 11 | 10 | SWEET BRIAR | 2.1% | 47.40 | 8 |
| 12 | 11 | SKY PHOENIX | 1.5% | 65.49 | 5 |
| 13 | 2 | ETERNAL RICHNESS | 1.3% | 77.48 | 12 |
| 14 | 3 | NOVA KNIGHT | 1.2% | 81.40 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 60
PLACE
1 21
7 25.5
9 133.5
QUINELLA
1,7 200
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 72.5
1,9 432
7,9 442.5
FORECAST
7,1 398
TIERCE
7,1,9 13,700
TRIO
1,7,9 3,192
FIRST 4
1,7,9,14 2,310
QUARTET
7,1,9,14 65,760
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3RD DOUBLE
10/1 168.5
10/7 460.5