沙田 · 2026-02-19 · 08:40
RED PACKET HANDICAP
第 9場
2026-02-19沙田第9場「RED PACKET HANDICAP」，Class 3，途程2000米，跑道評為GOOD。由H Bowman策騎、A S Cruz訓練的GENTLEMEN LEGACY勝出。LIVEANDLETLIVE獲得亞軍；ENTHRALLED獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.3倍大熱門LIVEANDLETLIVE跑獲第2名。
場地詳情
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | GENTLEMEN LEGACY 後段發力 B/TT 2:00.96 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bowman · A S Cruz | H Bowman | A S Cruz | 6 | 6.7 | — |
| 2 | 8 | LIVEANDLETLIVE 早段領放 TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 4 | 4.3 | NOSE |
| 3 | 14 | ENTHRALLED 後段發力 A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 13 | 6.3 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 11 | FORTUNE BOY 後段發力 B H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 14 | 19.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 13 | AGENDA 後段發力 BO M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 5 | 20.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 10 | RELIABLE PROFIT 後段發力 P-/TT L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 1 | 69.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 12 | THE AUSPICIOUS 後段發力 H M Guyon · Y S Tsui | M Guyon | Y S Tsui | 9 | 11.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 5 | NOISY BOY TT K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 3 | 27.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 6 | BRAVEHEARTS 後段發力 B2 A Atzeni · M Newnham | A Atzeni | M Newnham | 11 | 30.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 4 | PRESTIGE GOOD V R Kingscote · P F Yiu | R Kingscote | P F Yiu | 7 | 8.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 9 | EXCELLENCE VALUE CP/TT J Orman · W Y So | J Orman | W Y So | 2 | 98.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 12 | 3 | SERAPH GABRIEL XB/CP1/TT D B McMonagle · D Eustace | D B McMonagle | D Eustace | 10 | 6.1 | 10-1/2 |
| 13 | 2 | LA CITY BLANCHE B/XB L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 8 | 93.0 | 15 |
| 14 | 7 | LE ZONDA TT Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 12 | 10.0 | 23-3/4 |
| — | 0 | CHARITY GAIN TT · D Eustace | — | D Eustace | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | PACKING FIGHTER H/XB/TT · P C Ng | — | P C Ng | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | LIVEANDLETLIVE | 15.3% | 6.53 | 2 |
| 2 | 3 | SERAPH GABRIEL | 10.4% | 9.59 | 12 |
| 3 | 7 | LE ZONDA | 9.9% | 10.06 | 14 |
| 4 | 6 | BRAVEHEARTS | 8.8% | 11.38 | 9 |
| 5 | 4 | PRESTIGE GOOD | 8.5% | 11.80 | 10 |
| 6 | 12 | THE AUSPICIOUS | 8.3% | 12.11 | 7 |
| 7 | 10 | RELIABLE PROFIT | 7.5% | 13.35 | 6 |
| 8 | 1 | GENTLEMEN LEGACY | 7.1% | 14.16 | 1 |
| 9 | 11 | FORTUNE BOY | 5.6% | 17.90 | 4 |
| 10 | 5 | NOISY BOY | 5.3% | 18.94 | 8 |
| 11 | 14 | ENTHRALLED | 4.7% | 21.48 | 3 |
| 12 | 13 | AGENDA | 4.3% | 23.08 | 5 |
| 13 | 2 | LA CITY BLANCHE | 2.5% | 39.38 | 13 |
| 14 | 9 | EXCELLENCE VALUE | 1.8% | 54.08 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 67
PLACE
1 24.5
8 17.5
14 22.5
QUINELLA
1,8 140.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,8 53.5
1,14 74.5
8,14 67.5
FORECAST
1,8 367
TIERCE
1,8,14 2,259
TRIO
1,8,14 394
FIRST 4
1,8,11,14 1,397
QUARTET
1,8,14,11 25,961
全部彩池（另 2 項）
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,9,14/1,8,14 14,092
8TH DOUBLE
14/1 541.5
14/8 65