Sha Tin · 2026-02-19 · 08:40
RED PACKET HANDICAP
Race 9
Race 9 ("RED PACKET HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-02-19 was Class 3 over 2000m, run on GOOD going. GENTLEMEN LEGACY, ridden by H Bowman and trained by A S Cruz, won, with LIVEANDLETLIVE second and ENTHRALLED third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.3 favourite LIVEANDLETLIVE finished 2nd.
Track detail
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | GENTLEMEN LEGACY Closed strongly B/TT 2:00.96 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · A S Cruz | H Bowman | A S Cruz | 6 | 6.7 | — |
| 2 | 8 | LIVEANDLETLIVE Led early TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 4 | 4.3 | NOSE |
| 3 | 14 | ENTHRALLED Closed strongly A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 13 | 6.3 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 11 | FORTUNE BOY Closed strongly B H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 14 | 19.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 13 | AGENDA Closed strongly BO M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 5 | 20.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 10 | RELIABLE PROFIT Closed strongly P-/TT L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 1 | 69.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 12 | THE AUSPICIOUS Closed strongly H M Guyon · Y S Tsui | M Guyon | Y S Tsui | 9 | 11.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 5 | NOISY BOY TT K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 3 | 27.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 6 | BRAVEHEARTS Closed strongly B2 A Atzeni · M Newnham | A Atzeni | M Newnham | 11 | 30.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 4 | PRESTIGE GOOD V R Kingscote · P F Yiu | R Kingscote | P F Yiu | 7 | 8.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 9 | EXCELLENCE VALUE CP/TT J Orman · W Y So | J Orman | W Y So | 2 | 98.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 12 | 3 | SERAPH GABRIEL XB/CP1/TT D B McMonagle · D Eustace | D B McMonagle | D Eustace | 10 | 6.1 | 10-1/2 |
| 13 | 2 | LA CITY BLANCHE B/XB L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 8 | 93.0 | 15 |
| 14 | 7 | LE ZONDA TT Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 12 | 10.0 | 23-3/4 |
| — | 0 | CHARITY GAIN TT · D Eustace | — | D Eustace | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | PACKING FIGHTER H/XB/TT · P C Ng | — | P C Ng | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | LIVEANDLETLIVE | 15.3% | 6.53 | 2 |
| 2 | 3 | SERAPH GABRIEL | 10.4% | 9.59 | 12 |
| 3 | 7 | LE ZONDA | 9.9% | 10.06 | 14 |
| 4 | 6 | BRAVEHEARTS | 8.8% | 11.38 | 9 |
| 5 | 4 | PRESTIGE GOOD | 8.5% | 11.80 | 10 |
| 6 | 12 | THE AUSPICIOUS | 8.3% | 12.11 | 7 |
| 7 | 10 | RELIABLE PROFIT | 7.5% | 13.35 | 6 |
| 8 | 1 | GENTLEMEN LEGACY | 7.1% | 14.16 | 1 |
| 9 | 11 | FORTUNE BOY | 5.6% | 17.90 | 4 |
| 10 | 5 | NOISY BOY | 5.3% | 18.94 | 8 |
| 11 | 14 | ENTHRALLED | 4.7% | 21.48 | 3 |
| 12 | 13 | AGENDA | 4.3% | 23.08 | 5 |
| 13 | 2 | LA CITY BLANCHE | 2.5% | 39.38 | 13 |
| 14 | 9 | EXCELLENCE VALUE | 1.8% | 54.08 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 67
PLACE
1 24.5
8 17.5
14 22.5
QUINELLA
1,8 140.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,8 53.5
1,14 74.5
8,14 67.5
FORECAST
1,8 367
TIERCE
1,8,14 2,259
TRIO
1,8,14 394
FIRST 4
1,8,11,14 1,397
QUARTET
1,8,14,11 25,961
All pools (2 more)
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,9,14/1,8,14 14,092
8TH DOUBLE
14/1 541.5
14/8 65