Sha Tin · 2026-02-19 · 07:00
THE YEAR OF THE HORSE CUP (HANDICAP)
Race 6
Race 6 ("THE YEAR OF THE HORSE CUP (HANDICAP)") at Sha Tin on 2026-02-19 was Class 2 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. STUNNING PEACH, ridden by Y L Chung and trained by A S Cruz, won, with TOP DRAGON second and REGAL GEM third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.0 favourite TOP DRAGON finished 2nd.
Track detail & race-day changes (1)
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | STUNNING PEACH Closed strongly CP/TT 1:33.95 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 4 | 5.9 | — |
| 2 | 11 | TOP DRAGON Closed strongly TT M Guyon · W Y So | M Guyon | W Y So | 1 | 2.0 | SH |
| 3 | 9 | REGAL GEM Closed strongly H2 A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 10 | 16.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 5 | PACKING ANGEL XB L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 5 | 16.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 3 | BEAUTY ETERNAL B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 8 | 23.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 6 | SOLEIL FIGHTER TT Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 2 | 4.1 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 8 | TALENTS AMBITION Closed strongly B-/XB M L Yeung · M Newnham | M L Yeung | M Newnham | 7 | 60.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 1 | ENCOUNTERED K Teetan · B Crawford | K Teetan | B Crawford | 6 | 12.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 4 | GORGEOUS WIN TT D B McMonagle · C S Shum | D B McMonagle | C S Shum | 9 | 42.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 10 | 7 | VOYAGE SAMURAI Led early B K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 3 | 27.0 | 10 |
| — | 2 | PRAY FOR MIR CP- H Bowman · W K Mo | H Bowman | W K Mo | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | TOP DRAGON | 33.8% | 2.96 | 2 |
| 2 | 6 | SOLEIL FIGHTER | 21.6% | 4.63 | 6 |
| 3 | 10 | STUNNING PEACH | 12.8% | 7.80 | 1 |
| 4 | 5 | PACKING ANGEL | 6.6% | 15.16 | 4 |
| 5 | 1 | ENCOUNTERED | 6.0% | 16.80 | 8 |
| 6 | 9 | REGAL GEM | 5.3% | 18.73 | 3 |
| 7 | 3 | BEAUTY ETERNAL | 3.9% | 25.33 | 5 |
| 8 | 4 | GORGEOUS WIN | 3.9% | 25.90 | 9 |
| 9 | 8 | TALENTS AMBITION | 3.4% | 29.41 | 7 |
| 10 | 7 | VOYAGE SAMURAI | 2.7% | 36.87 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 59
PLACE
9 38
10 17
11 11.5
QUINELLA
10,11 56
QUINELLA PLACE
9,10 103
9,11 58.5
10,11 23
FORECAST
10,11 139
TIERCE
10,11,9 1,030
TRIO
9,10,11 210
FIRST 4
5,9,10,11 544
QUARTET
10,11,9,5 8,251
All pools (1 more)
5TH DOUBLE
3/10 206.5
3/11 11