Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2026-02-19 · 15:00

THE YEAR OF THE HORSE CUP (HANDICAP)

Race 6

Class 2 GOOD 1600m Course A 10 runners
Track detail & race-day changes (1)
Penetrometer 2.7199999999999998 #2 PRAY FOR MIR — Code 92

Result

Official · 1:33.95
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 10 STUNNING PEACH Closed strongly CP/TT 1:33.95 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Y L Chung · A S Cruz 4 5.9 —
2 11 TOP DRAGON Closed strongly TT M Guyon · W Y So 1 2.0 SH
3 9 REGAL GEM Closed strongly H2 A Badel · F C Lor 10 16.0 2-3/4
4 5 PACKING ANGEL XB L Hewitson · K W Lui 5 16.0 2-3/4
5 3 BEAUTY ETERNAL B Avdulla · J Size 8 23.0 3-1/4
6 6 SOLEIL FIGHTER TT Z Purton · D A Hayes 2 4.1 3-3/4
7 8 TALENTS AMBITION Closed strongly B-/XB M L Yeung · M Newnham 7 60.0 5
8 1 ENCOUNTERED K Teetan · B Crawford 6 12.0 5-3/4
9 4 GORGEOUS WIN TT D B McMonagle · C S Shum 9 42.0 7-3/4
10 7 VOYAGE SAMURAI Led early B K C Leung · F C Lor 3 27.0 10
— 2 PRAY FOR MIR CP- H Bowman · W K Mo — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 6 ("THE YEAR OF THE HORSE CUP (HANDICAP)") at Sha Tin on 2026-02-19 was Class 2 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. STUNNING PEACH, ridden by Y L Chung and trained by A S Cruz, won, with TOP DRAGON second and REGAL GEM third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.0 favourite TOP DRAGON finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. STUNNING PEACH—2. TOP DRAGON+0.1L3. REGAL GEM+2.75L4. PACKING ANGEL+2.75L5. BEAUTY ETERNAL+3.25L6. SOLEIL FIGHTER+3.75L7. TALENTS AMBITION+5L8. ENCOUNTERED+5.75L9. GORGEOUS WIN+7.75L10. VOYAGE SAMURAI+10L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick TOP DRAGON (33.8%) finished 2nd — the winner STUNNING PEACH was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 11 TOP DRAGON 33.8% 2.96 2
2 6 SOLEIL FIGHTER 21.6% 4.63 6
3 10 STUNNING PEACH 12.8% 7.80 1
4 5 PACKING ANGEL 6.6% 15.16 4
5 1 ENCOUNTERED 6.0% 16.80 8
6 9 REGAL GEM 5.3% 18.73 3
7 3 BEAUTY ETERNAL 3.9% 25.33 5
8 4 GORGEOUS WIN 3.9% 25.90 9
9 8 TALENTS AMBITION 3.4% 29.41 7
10 7 VOYAGE SAMURAI 2.7% 36.87 10
TOP DRAGONSOLEIL FIGHTERSTUNNING PEACH — wonPACKING ANGELENCOUNTEREDREGAL GEMBEAUTY ETERNALGORGEOUS WINTALENTS AMBITIONVOYAGE SAMURAI

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

10 59

PLACE

9 38

10 17

11 11.5

QUINELLA

10,11 56

QUINELLA PLACE

9,10 103

9,11 58.5

10,11 23

FORECAST

10,11 139

TIERCE

10,11,9 1,030

TRIO

9,10,11 210

FIRST 4

5,9,10,11 544

QUARTET

10,11,9,5 8,251

All pools (1 more)

5TH DOUBLE

3/10 206.5

3/11 11