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Sha Tin · 2026-02-19 · 06:30

FAT CHOI HANDICAP

Race 5

Class 4 GOOD 1200m Course A 14 runners

Race 5 ("FAT CHOI HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-02-19 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. CIRCUIT CHAMPION, ridden by M L Yeung and trained by C S Shum, won, with CROSSBORDERDUDE second and RIDING HIGH third. Victory came as the 3.1 favourite.

Track detail
Penetrometer 2.7199999999999998

Result

Official · 1:09.12
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 3 CIRCUIT CHAMPION CP/TT 1:09.12 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M L Yeung · C S Shum 1 3.1
2 1 CROSSBORDERDUDE B Z Purton · J Size 3 3.1 2-1/4
3 14 RIDING HIGH CP A Badel · D J Whyte 9 7.0 2-1/2
4 5 TEAM TEAM FOLKS C Y Ho · K H Ting 5 16.0 3
5 11 THUNDER PRINCE XB-/TT- H Bowman · J Richards 11 15.0 3
6 12 BULLISH PRIDE K Teetan · B Crawford 2 67.0 3-1/2
7 7 VOYAGE CAPTAIN TT1 M F Poon · P F Yiu 8 12.0 5
8 9 LAKESHORE HERO D B McMonagle · D J Hall 12 33.0 6-1/4
9 10 SUNNY Q TT H Bentley · W Y So 13 20.0 6-3/4
10 4 MARVEL AND GOLD E/TT B Avdulla · C H Yip 4 156.0 7-3/4
11 13 ROMAN CROWN B/TT A Atzeni · P C Ng 7 12.0 8-3/4
12 8 COMET RADIANCE TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 10 33.0 9-1/2
13 2 FORZA LEADER B1/TT J Orman · Y S Tsui 6 172.0 10-1/4
14 6 GOLDEN WIN K C Leung · K L Man 14 107.0 11-3/4
0 SEA CHARIOT TT · W K Mo
0 DAILY TROPHY TT · C Fownes

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. CIRCUIT CHAMPION2. CROSSBORDERDUDE+2.25L3. RIDING HIGH+2.5L4. TEAM TEAM FOLKS+3L5. THUNDER PRINCE+3L6. BULLISH PRIDE+3.5L7. VOYAGE CAPTAIN+5L8. LAKESHORE HERO+6.25L9. SUNNY Q+6.75L10. MARVEL AND GOLD+7.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick CROSSBORDERDUDE (49.3%) finished 2nd — the winner CIRCUIT CHAMPION was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 CROSSBORDERDUDE 49.3% 2.03 2
2 3 CIRCUIT CHAMPION 10.0% 9.99 1
3 5 TEAM TEAM FOLKS 7.3% 13.75 4
4 11 THUNDER PRINCE 5.5% 18.04 5
5 13 ROMAN CROWN 4.6% 21.72 11
6 9 LAKESHORE HERO 4.5% 22.08 8
7 14 RIDING HIGH 4.2% 24.00 3
8 7 VOYAGE CAPTAIN 4.0% 24.90 7
9 10 SUNNY Q 3.4% 29.14 9
10 8 COMET RADIANCE 2.3% 43.56 12
11 4 MARVEL AND GOLD 1.4% 70.35 10
12 12 BULLISH PRIDE 1.3% 74.30 6
13 6 GOLDEN WIN 1.1% 93.77 14
14 2 FORZA LEADER 1.0% 102.41 13
CROSSBORDERDUDECIRCUIT CHAMPION — wonTEAM TEAM FOLKSTHUNDER PRINCEROMAN CROWNLAKESHORE HERORIDING HIGHVOYAGE CAPTAINSUNNY QCOMET RADIANCEMARVEL AND GOLDBULLISH PRIDEGOLDEN WINFORZA LEADER

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

3 31

PLACE

1 14

3 14

14 22.5

QUINELLA

1,3 52

QUINELLA PLACE

1,3 24

1,14 40.5

3,14 46

FORECAST

3,1 115

TIERCE

3,1,14 504

TRIO

1,3,14 133

FIRST 4

1,3,5,14 385

QUARTET

3,1,14,5 5,013

All pools (3 more)

1ST TREBLE

10/7/1 346

10/7/3 2,419

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

1,7,9/1,3,14 49,775

4TH DOUBLE

7/1 34.5

7/3 208