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Sha Tin · 2026-02-19 · 05:00

FAT CHOI HANDICAP

Race 2

Class 4 GOOD 1200m Course A 14 runners

Race 2 ("FAT CHOI HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-02-19 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. PAPAYA BROSE, ridden by H Bowman and trained by C Fownes, won, with PRESTIGE HALL second and HAPPY PARK third. The 2.1 favourite PRESTIGE HALL finished 2nd.

Track detail
Penetrometer 2.7199999999999998

Result

Official · 1:09.23
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 6 PAPAYA BROSE TT1 1:09.23 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · C Fownes 8 21.0
2 9 PRESTIGE HALL Z Purton · D J Hall 10 2.1 1-1/2
3 14 HAPPY PARK CP1 K Teetan · B Crawford 9 7.6 1-1/2
4 2 YEE CHEONG GLORY CP/TT M Chadwick · J Richards 5 13.0 1-3/4
5 1 HAYDAY M F Poon · P F Yiu 2 15.0 1-3/4
6 8 LITTLE MONSTER SR-/H/TT C L Chau · W K Mo 12 14.0 3-3/4
7 3 FREE PONY P M L Yeung · C W Chang 3 40.0 4
8 12 WATCH THIS ONE V/TT A Atzeni · P C Ng 4 20.0 4-1/4
9 4 GOKO WIN B J Orman · D J Whyte 13 23.0 4-1/4
10 10 SUPREME VOYAGER TT Y L Chung · C H Yip 1 100.0 4-1/2
11 5 NEVER SETTLE CP1/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui 11 10.0 4-3/4
12 13 SEA SAPPHIRE TT L Hewitson · D Eustace 6 50.0 5
13 11 MADE FOR LIFE B-/TT K C Leung · M Newnham 14 8.6 6
14 7 VIVA BOSS A Badel · K L Man 7 152.0 6-1/4
0 STORMY KNIGHT CP · D A Hayes
0 CIRCUIT DUFFY V · F C Lor

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. PAPAYA BROSE2. PRESTIGE HALL+1.5L3. HAPPY PARK+1.5L4. YEE CHEONG GLORY+1.75L5. HAYDAY+1.75L6. LITTLE MONSTER+3.75L7. FREE PONY+4L8. WATCH THIS ONE+4.25L9. GOKO WIN+4.25L10. SUPREME VOYAGER+4.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick PRESTIGE HALL (32.7%) finished 2nd — the winner PAPAYA BROSE was rated #7. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 9 PRESTIGE HALL 32.7% 3.06 2
2 5 NEVER SETTLE 11.0% 9.05 11
3 2 YEE CHEONG GLORY 8.6% 11.58 4
4 14 HAPPY PARK 7.5% 13.31 3
5 1 HAYDAY 6.7% 15.02 5
6 8 LITTLE MONSTER 6.3% 15.98 6
7 6 PAPAYA BROSE 5.4% 18.35 1
8 11 MADE FOR LIFE 4.1% 24.24 13
9 13 SEA SAPPHIRE 3.9% 25.77 12
10 12 WATCH THIS ONE 3.8% 26.61 8
11 3 FREE PONY 3.2% 31.26 7
12 10 SUPREME VOYAGER 2.5% 39.52 10
13 4 GOKO WIN 2.4% 41.49 9
14 7 VIVA BOSS 1.8% 54.51 14
PRESTIGE HALLNEVER SETTLEYEE CHEONG GLORYHAPPY PARKHAYDAYLITTLE MONSTERPAPAYA BROSE — wonMADE FOR LIFESEA SAPPHIREWATCH THIS ONEFREE PONYSUPREME VOYAGERGOKO WINVIVA BOSS

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

6 215.5

PLACE

6 48.5

9 12.5

14 28

QUINELLA

6,9 211.5

QUINELLA PLACE

6,9 85.5

6,14 239.5

9,14 43

FORECAST

6,9 564

TIERCE

6,9,14 3,327

TRIO

6,9,14 479

FIRST 4

2,6,9,14 915

QUARTET

6,9,14,2 27,163

All pools (1 more)

1ST DOUBLE

2/6 1,044.5

2/9 26