沙田 · 2026-02-22 · 05:30
GLADIOLUS HANDICAP
第 2場
2026-02-22沙田第2場「GLADIOLUS HANDICAP」，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由M F Poon策騎、F C Lor訓練的EMBRACE ABERDEEN勝出。THOUSAND SPIRIT獲得亞軍；JUBILATION FOR ALL獲得季軍。3.4倍大熱門GIANT BALLON跑獲第5名。
場地詳情及賽日變動（3）
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | EMBRACE ABERDEEN CP1/TT1 1:09.11 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 11 | 6.8 | — |
| 2 | 2 | THOUSAND SPIRIT L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 13 | 4.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 10 | JUBILATION FOR ALL B/TT D B McMonagle · C S Shum | D B McMonagle | C S Shum | 6 | 20.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 6 | HAPPY BRETHREN XB1 C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 5 | 5.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 5 | GIANT BALLON CP/TT Z Purton · D J Whyte | Z Purton | D J Whyte | 3 | 3.4 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 9 | STORMY KNIGHT CP H Bowman · D A Hayes | H Bowman | D A Hayes | 2 | 12.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 7 | PHOENIX LIGHT H C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 12 | 33.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 3 | SEA CHARIOT TT M Guyon · W K Mo | M Guyon | W K Mo | 7 | 13.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 13 | RUNJEET H-/XB/TT R Kingscote · D Eustace | R Kingscote | D Eustace | 10 | 56.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 8 | LUCKY GIBS Y L Chung · K L Man | Y L Chung | K L Man | 8 | 96.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 12 | SUPER MASTERMIND CP-/B1/TT B Avdulla · J Richards | B Avdulla | J Richards | 4 | 211.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 4 | FORTUNE GOLDSADDLE TT H T Mo · K H Ting | H T Mo | K H Ting | 1 | 126.0 | 6 |
| 13 | 11 | MONTA FRUTTA H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 9 | 18.0 | 9 |
| 14 | 14 | NOBLE FANS B/TT H Bentley · J Size | H Bentley | J Size | 14 | 64.0 | 13-1/4 |
| — | 0 | GOLDEN EMPIRE B · B Crawford | — | B Crawford | — | — | — |
| WV | 7 | LEAN GENERAL CP1/TT1 A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 12 | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | GIANT BALLON | 36.4% | 2.75 | 5 |
| 2 | 1 | EMBRACE ABERDEEN | 13.0% | 7.68 | 1 |
| 3 | 6 | HAPPY BRETHREN | 9.3% | 10.73 | 4 |
| 4 | 3 | SEA CHARIOT | 6.2% | 16.07 | 8 |
| 5 | 9 | STORMY KNIGHT | 6.2% | 16.18 | 6 |
| 6 | 2 | THOUSAND SPIRIT | 5.1% | 19.67 | 2 |
| 7 | 14 | NOBLE FANS | 4.8% | 20.90 | 14 |
| 8 | 11 | MONTA FRUTTA | 4.6% | 21.94 | 13 |
| 9 | 10 | JUBILATION FOR ALL | 4.3% | 23.02 | 3 |
| 10 | 7 | PHOENIX LIGHT | 4.2% | 23.75 | 7 |
| 11 | 8 | LUCKY GIBS | 2.4% | 41.74 | 10 |
| 12 | 13 | RUNJEET | 1.6% | 60.81 | 9 |
| 13 | 4 | FORTUNE GOLDSADDLE | 1.0% | 103.05 | 12 |
| 14 | 12 | SUPER MASTERMIND | 0.9% | 113.80 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 68.5
PLACE
1 23
2 14.5
10 51.5
QUINELLA
1,2 147.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 57.5
1,10 223
2,10 119.5
FORECAST
1,2 358
TIERCE
1,2,10 3,651
TRIO
1,2,10 804
FIRST 4
1,2,6,10 737
QUARTET
1,2,10,6 18,339
全部彩池（另 1 項）
1ST DOUBLE
5/1 415
5/2 37.5