沙田 · 2026-02-22 · 10:20
ROSE HANDICAP
第 11場
2026-02-22沙田第11場「ROSE HANDICAP」，Class 3，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由M F Poon策騎、F C Lor訓練的SALON S勝出。GHORGAN獲得亞軍；HAROLD WIN獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。頭馬以1.6倍大熱姿態勝出。
場地詳情及賽日變動（2）
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | SALON S 一路領先 1:20.72 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 8 | 1.6 | — |
| 2 | 12 | GHORGAN 後段發力 H/TT A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 4 | 12.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 3 | 11 | HAROLD WIN V/XB A Atzeni · K W Lui | A Atzeni | K W Lui | 10 | 54.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 1 | SIX PACK 後段發力 B L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 7 | 10.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 6 | KA YING ATTACK V Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 2 | 5.8 | 3 |
| 6 | 2 | SKY HEART TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 14 | 23.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 5 | BRILLIANT EXPRESS 後段發力 B- D B McMonagle · J Size | D B McMonagle | J Size | 6 | 17.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 3 | THE BOOM BOX 後段發力 CP1 C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 1 | 45.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 14 | GREY CHARGER 後段發力 XB M Chadwick · D Eustace | M Chadwick | D Eustace | 12 | 249.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 7 | HEAVING B/TT C L Chau · D Eustace | C L Chau | D Eustace | 5 | 14.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 8 | PERFECT TEAM 後段發力 B-/TT R Kingscote · C Fownes | R Kingscote | C Fownes | 11 | 245.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 12 | 13 | LEAPING STAR M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 3 | 281.0 | 12-1/4 |
| 13 | 10 | MIGHTY STRENGTH B H T Mo · P F Yiu | H T Mo | P F Yiu | 9 | 80.0 | 14-1/2 |
| 14 | 4 | BEAUTY CRESCENT B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 13 | 108.0 | 16-1/2 |
| — | 0 | PI LEGEND TT · C H Yip | — | C H Yip | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | BIENVENUE B · D A Hayes | — | D A Hayes | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | SALON S | 21.2% | 4.72 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | SIX PACK | 20.2% | 4.95 | 4 |
| 3 | 6 | KA YING ATTACK | 18.6% | 5.37 | 5 |
| 4 | 7 | HEAVING | 9.7% | 10.29 | 10 |
| 5 | 11 | HAROLD WIN | 5.3% | 18.84 | 3 |
| 6 | 5 | BRILLIANT EXPRESS | 4.4% | 22.50 | 7 |
| 7 | 12 | GHORGAN | 4.3% | 23.11 | 2 |
| 8 | 2 | SKY HEART | 4.3% | 23.29 | 6 |
| 9 | 3 | THE BOOM BOX | 3.6% | 28.00 | 8 |
| 10 | 10 | MIGHTY STRENGTH | 2.8% | 36.15 | 13 |
| 11 | 4 | BEAUTY CRESCENT | 2.0% | 51.28 | 14 |
| 12 | 8 | PERFECT TEAM | 1.4% | 70.51 | 11 |
| 13 | 14 | GREY CHARGER | 1.3% | 76.24 | 9 |
| 14 | 13 | LEAPING STAR | 0.9% | 116.73 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 16
PLACE
9 12
11 62
12 26
QUINELLA
9,12 97.5
QUINELLA PLACE
9,11 96
9,12 40.5
11,12 458.5
FORECAST
9,12 126
TIERCE
9,12,11 2,067
TRIO
9,11,12 778
FIRST 4
1,9,11,12 1,285
QUARTET
9,12,11,1 14,845
全部彩池（另 4 項）
10TH DOUBLE
9/9 1,098.5
9/12 1,709
2ND TREBLE
4/9/9 2,463
4/9/12 3,795
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
3,5,9/9,11,12 505,829
SIX UP
4/3/1/4/9/9 76,179
4,14/3,13/1,3/3,4/5,9/9,12 2,250
1 [Z Purton] —
3 [F C Lor] —