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Sha Tin · 2026-02-22 · 10:20

ROSE HANDICAP

Race 11

Class 3 GOOD 1400m Course A+3 14 runners

Race 11 ("ROSE HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-02-22 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. SALON S, ridden by M F Poon and trained by F C Lor, won, with GHORGAN second and HAROLD WIN third. The winner led throughout. Victory came as the 1.6 favourite.

Track detail & race-day changes (2)
Penetrometer 2.7199999999999998 #12 GHORGAN — Weight Change #14 GREY CHARGER — Weight Change

Result

Official · 1:20.72
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 9 SALON S Wire to wire 1:20.72 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · F C Lor 8 1.6
2 12 GHORGAN Closed strongly H/TT A Badel · K L Man 4 12.0 2-1/2
3 11 HAROLD WIN V/XB A Atzeni · K W Lui 10 54.0 2-1/2
4 1 SIX PACK Closed strongly B L Ferraris · D J Whyte 7 10.0 2-3/4
5 6 KA YING ATTACK V Z Purton · D J Hall 2 5.8 3
6 2 SKY HEART TT E C W Wong · C Fownes 14 23.0 4
7 5 BRILLIANT EXPRESS Closed strongly B- D B McMonagle · J Size 6 17.0 4-1/4
8 3 THE BOOM BOX Closed strongly CP1 C Y Ho · W Y So 1 45.0 6-1/4
9 14 GREY CHARGER Closed strongly XB M Chadwick · D Eustace 12 249.0 6-1/4
10 7 HEAVING B/TT C L Chau · D Eustace 5 14.0 7-1/4
11 8 PERFECT TEAM Closed strongly B-/TT R Kingscote · C Fownes 11 245.0 10-3/4
12 13 LEAPING STAR M L Yeung · D A Hayes 3 281.0 12-1/4
13 10 MIGHTY STRENGTH B H T Mo · P F Yiu 9 80.0 14-1/2
14 4 BEAUTY CRESCENT B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 13 108.0 16-1/2
0 PI LEGEND TT · C H Yip
0 BIENVENUE B · D A Hayes

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SALON S2. GHORGAN+2.5L3. HAROLD WIN+2.5L4. SIX PACK+2.75L5. KA YING ATTACK+3L6. SKY HEART+4L7. BRILLIANT EXPRESS+4.25L8. THE BOOM BOX+6.25L9. GREY CHARGER+6.25L10. HEAVING+7.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick SALON S (21.2%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 9 SALON S 21.2% 4.72 1
2 1 SIX PACK 20.2% 4.95 4
3 6 KA YING ATTACK 18.6% 5.37 5
4 7 HEAVING 9.7% 10.29 10
5 11 HAROLD WIN 5.3% 18.84 3
6 5 BRILLIANT EXPRESS 4.4% 22.50 7
7 12 GHORGAN 4.3% 23.11 2
8 2 SKY HEART 4.3% 23.29 6
9 3 THE BOOM BOX 3.6% 28.00 8
10 10 MIGHTY STRENGTH 2.8% 36.15 13
11 4 BEAUTY CRESCENT 2.0% 51.28 14
12 8 PERFECT TEAM 1.4% 70.51 11
13 14 GREY CHARGER 1.3% 76.24 9
14 13 LEAPING STAR 0.9% 116.73 12
SALON S — wonSIX PACKKA YING ATTACKHEAVINGHAROLD WINBRILLIANT EXPRESSGHORGANSKY HEARTTHE BOOM BOXMIGHTY STRENGTHBEAUTY CRESCENTPERFECT TEAMGREY CHARGERLEAPING STAR

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

9 16

PLACE

9 12

11 62

12 26

QUINELLA

9,12 97.5

QUINELLA PLACE

9,11 96

9,12 40.5

11,12 458.5

FORECAST

9,12 126

TIERCE

9,12,11 2,067

TRIO

9,11,12 778

FIRST 4

1,9,11,12 1,285

QUARTET

9,12,11,1 14,845

All pools (4 more)

10TH DOUBLE

9/9 1,098.5

9/12 1,709

2ND TREBLE

4/9/9 2,463

4/9/12 3,795

5TH DOUBLE TRIO

3,5,9/9,11,12 505,829

SIX UP

4/3/1/4/9/9 76,179

4,14/3,13/1,3/3,4/5,9/9,12 2,250

1 [Z Purton]

3 [F C Lor]