Sha Tin · 2026-02-22 · 06:30
ORCHID HANDICAP
Race 4
Race 4 ("ORCHID HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-02-22 was Class 2 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. STELLAR EXPRESS, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by J Size, won, with COLOURFUL KING second and INVINCIBLE SAGE third. The 1.5 favourite COLOURFUL KING finished 2nd.
Track detail
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | STELLAR EXPRESS B 0:55.36 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 2 | 4.8 | — |
| 2 | 2 | COLOURFUL KING TT Z Purton · D Eustace | Z Purton | D Eustace | 4 | 1.5 | N |
| 3 | 1 | INVINCIBLE SAGE CP J Orman · D J Hall | J Orman | D J Hall | 3 | 29.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 5 | DROMBEG BANNER K C Leung · P C Ng | K C Leung | P C Ng | 1 | 14.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 4 | MAGIC CONTROL TT B Avdulla · W K Mo | B Avdulla | W K Mo | 7 | 5.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 7 | YOUTHFUL SPIRITS H/SR/TT Y L Chung · M Newnham | Y L Chung | M Newnham | 6 | 24.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 7 | 6 | SUPERB CAPITALIST TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 5 | 48.0 | 9-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | COLOURFUL KING | 44.2% | 2.26 | 2 |
| 2 | 3 | STELLAR EXPRESS | 25.2% | 3.97 | 1 |
| 3 | 5 | DROMBEG BANNER | 9.7% | 10.32 | 4 |
| 4 | 4 | MAGIC CONTROL | 6.7% | 14.83 | 5 |
| 5 | 7 | YOUTHFUL SPIRITS | 6.4% | 15.61 | 6 |
| 6 | 6 | SUPERB CAPITALIST | 4.3% | 23.45 | 7 |
| 7 | 1 | INVINCIBLE SAGE | 3.6% | 28.02 | 3 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 48.5
PLACE
1 34
2 10.1
3 13.5
QUINELLA
2,3 43
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 46.5
1,3 89.5
2,3 20.5
FORECAST
3,2 86
TIERCE
3,2,1 349
TRIO
1,2,3 81
FIRST 4
1,2,3,5 102
QUARTET
3,2,1,5 1,176
All pools (1 more)
3RD DOUBLE
11/2 12
11/3 191.5