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Sha Tin · 2026-02-22 · 05:30

GLADIOLUS HANDICAP

Race 2

Class 4 GOOD 1200m Course A+3 14 runners

Race 2 ("GLADIOLUS HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-02-22 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. EMBRACE ABERDEEN, ridden by M F Poon and trained by F C Lor, won, with THOUSAND SPIRIT second and JUBILATION FOR ALL third. The 3.4 favourite GIANT BALLON finished 5th.

Track detail & race-day changes (3)
Penetrometer 2.7199999999999998 #7 PHOENIX LIGHT — Code 96 #7 PHOENIX LIGHT — Jockey Change #7 PHOENIX LIGHT — Weight Change

Result

Official · 1:09.11
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 1 EMBRACE ABERDEEN CP1/TT1 1:09.11 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · F C Lor 11 6.8
2 2 THOUSAND SPIRIT L Hewitson · M Newnham 13 4.0 1/2
3 10 JUBILATION FOR ALL B/TT D B McMonagle · C S Shum 6 20.0 1
4 6 HAPPY BRETHREN XB1 C Y Ho · K W Lui 5 5.3 1-3/4
5 5 GIANT BALLON CP/TT Z Purton · D J Whyte 3 3.4 2-3/4
6 9 STORMY KNIGHT CP H Bowman · D A Hayes 2 12.0 3-3/4
7 7 PHOENIX LIGHT H C L Chau · C H Yip 12 33.0 3-3/4
8 3 SEA CHARIOT TT M Guyon · W K Mo 7 13.0 3-3/4
9 13 RUNJEET H-/XB/TT R Kingscote · D Eustace 10 56.0 4
10 8 LUCKY GIBS Y L Chung · K L Man 8 96.0 5-1/2
11 12 SUPER MASTERMIND CP-/B1/TT B Avdulla · J Richards 4 211.0 5-1/2
12 4 FORTUNE GOLDSADDLE TT H T Mo · K H Ting 1 126.0 6
13 11 MONTA FRUTTA H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz 9 18.0 9
14 14 NOBLE FANS B/TT H Bentley · J Size 14 64.0 13-1/4
0 GOLDEN EMPIRE B · B Crawford
WV 7 LEAN GENERAL CP1/TT1 A Atzeni · P F Yiu 12

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. EMBRACE ABERDEEN2. THOUSAND SPIRIT+0.5L3. JUBILATION FOR ALL+1L4. HAPPY BRETHREN+1.75L5. GIANT BALLON+2.75L6. STORMY KNIGHT+3.75L7. PHOENIX LIGHT+3.75L8. SEA CHARIOT+3.75L9. RUNJEET+4L10. LUCKY GIBS+5.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick GIANT BALLON (36.4%) finished 5th — the winner EMBRACE ABERDEEN was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 5 GIANT BALLON 36.4% 2.75 5
2 1 EMBRACE ABERDEEN 13.0% 7.68 1
3 6 HAPPY BRETHREN 9.3% 10.73 4
4 3 SEA CHARIOT 6.2% 16.07 8
5 9 STORMY KNIGHT 6.2% 16.18 6
6 2 THOUSAND SPIRIT 5.1% 19.67 2
7 14 NOBLE FANS 4.8% 20.90 14
8 11 MONTA FRUTTA 4.6% 21.94 13
9 10 JUBILATION FOR ALL 4.3% 23.02 3
10 7 PHOENIX LIGHT 4.2% 23.75 7
11 8 LUCKY GIBS 2.4% 41.74 10
12 13 RUNJEET 1.6% 60.81 9
13 4 FORTUNE GOLDSADDLE 1.0% 103.05 12
14 12 SUPER MASTERMIND 0.9% 113.80 11
GIANT BALLONEMBRACE ABERDEEN — wonHAPPY BRETHRENSEA CHARIOTSTORMY KNIGHTTHOUSAND SPIRITNOBLE FANSMONTA FRUTTAJUBILATION FOR ALLPHOENIX LIGHTLUCKY GIBSRUNJEETFORTUNE GOLDSADDLESUPER MASTERMIND

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 68.5

PLACE

1 23

2 14.5

10 51.5

QUINELLA

1,2 147.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,2 57.5

1,10 223

2,10 119.5

FORECAST

1,2 358

TIERCE

1,2,10 3,651

TRIO

1,2,10 804

FIRST 4

1,2,6,10 737

QUARTET

1,2,10,6 18,339

All pools (1 more)

1ST DOUBLE

5/1 415

5/2 37.5