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Sha Tin · 2026-02-22 · 07:30

PEACH BLOSSOM HANDICAP

Race 6

Class 4 GOOD 1400m Course A+3 14 runners

Race 6 ("PEACH BLOSSOM HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-02-22 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. AEROVOLANIC, ridden by Z Purton and trained by P C Ng, won, with SHOTGUN second and ALL ROUND WINNER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.9 favourite.

Track detail & race-day changes (1)
Penetrometer 2.7199999999999998 #12 LUCKY FIELD — Weight Change

Result

Official · 1:21.41
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 4 AEROVOLANIC Closed strongly CP 1:21.41 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · P C Ng 11 2.9
2 14 SHOTGUN Led early B/XB M F Poon · D J Hall 9 5.2 2
3 1 ALL ROUND WINNER Closed strongly B H Bentley · D A Hayes 6 5.9 3-3/4
4 13 PROUD BOX TT K Teetan · W Y So 7 17.0 4-3/4
5 11 SMART FAT CAT Closed strongly CP/H/TT C Y Ho · W K Mo 3 5.6 4-3/4
6 3 STAR SATYR Closed strongly TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 2 9.7 5-1/4
7 10 RED BRICK WARRIOR Closed strongly XB L Ferraris · D Eustace 8 19.0 7
8 8 MERLION XB/TT H Bowman · D J Whyte 1 57.0 7-1/4
9 7 LUCKY BALERION CP1/TT1 A Atzeni · F C Lor 13 20.0 11
10 12 LUCKY FIELD B/TT C L Chau · K L Man 12 184.0 11-1/4
11 5 DAILY TROPHY TT E C W Wong · C Fownes 4 123.0 14-1/4
12 6 GRAND TURBO Closed strongly B1/TT1 R Kingscote · C S Shum 10 89.0 14-1/2
13 2 WIN EASE TT M L Yeung · K W Lui 5 46.0 14-3/4
14 9 A LA CHAMP CP- J Orman · B Crawford 14 171.0 20-1/2
0 SUPER LOVE TT · C H Yip
0 TO INFINITY · J Richards

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. AEROVOLANIC2. SHOTGUN+2L3. ALL ROUND WINNER+3.75L4. PROUD BOX+4.75L5. SMART FAT CAT+4.75L6. STAR SATYR+5.25L7. RED BRICK WARRIOR+7L8. MERLION+7.25L9. LUCKY BALERION+11L10. LUCKY FIELD+11.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick AEROVOLANIC (24.6%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 4 AEROVOLANIC 24.6% 4.07 1
2 1 ALL ROUND WINNER 14.6% 6.87 3
3 3 STAR SATYR 10.8% 9.23 6
4 14 SHOTGUN 10.3% 9.70 2
5 11 SMART FAT CAT 9.6% 10.46 5
6 7 LUCKY BALERION 5.7% 17.48 9
7 10 RED BRICK WARRIOR 5.7% 17.57 7
8 13 PROUD BOX 4.7% 21.20 4
9 6 GRAND TURBO 4.1% 24.60 12
10 5 DAILY TROPHY 2.9% 34.30 11
11 8 MERLION 2.8% 35.97 8
12 2 WIN EASE 1.7% 58.18 13
13 12 LUCKY FIELD 1.3% 77.38 10
14 9 A LA CHAMP 1.3% 78.38 14
AEROVOLANIC — wonALL ROUND WINNERSTAR SATYRSHOTGUNSMART FAT CATLUCKY BALERIONRED BRICK WARRIORPROUD BOXGRAND TURBODAILY TROPHYMERLIONWIN EASELUCKY FIELDA LA CHAMP

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

4 29

PLACE

1 19

4 14

14 20.5

QUINELLA

4,14 87.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,4 34

1,14 56.5

4,14 35.5

FORECAST

4,14 162

TIERCE

4,14,1 555

TRIO

1,4,14 124

FIRST 4

1,4,13,14 367

QUARTET

4,14,1,13 5,719

All pools (1 more)

5TH DOUBLE

1/4 77.5

1/14 33.5