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Sha Tin · 2026-02-22 · 16:00

PEACH BLOSSOM HANDICAP

Race 7

Class 4 GOOD 1400m Course A+3 14 runners
Track detail
Penetrometer 2.7199999999999998

Result

Official · 1:21.51
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 3 ALL'S WELL Closed strongly H-/TT 1:21.51 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) D B McMonagle · C H Yip 4 4.7 —
2 13 YODA'S CHOICE CP/TT M L Yeung · P C Ng 5 26.0 3
3 9 BIG RETURN Closed strongly H/TT M Guyon · J Richards 7 14.0 3-1/4
4 4 BRIGHT DAY V/TT K C Leung · K L Man 14 53.0 3-1/2
5 7 FORERUNNER TT A Badel · W K Mo 10 50.0 3-1/2
6 6 JOLLY BRILLIANT Closed strongly B M Chadwick · P F Yiu 6 6.2 4
7 14 HAPPYDEARHAPPYDEER Closed strongly B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 8 38.0 4-1/4
8 10 WIN METHOD Closed strongly B/TT H Bentley · C S Shum 12 81.0 4-1/2
9 11 APOLAR FIGHTER B/TT R Kingscote · D Eustace 3 76.0 6-1/2
10 12 PERIDOT M F Poon · D J Hall 13 16.0 7
11 8 TOP PEAK XB K Teetan · B Crawford 2 5.9 8-3/4
12 2 MABUBU Led early TT C Y Ho · W Y So 1 8.8 9-3/4
13 5 FUN TOGETHER CP/TT C L Chau · C W Chang 9 39.0 10-1/4
— 0 PRINCE ALEX CP/XB/TT · D J Whyte — — —
— 0 INVICTUS DRAGON · K W Lui — — —
DISQ 1 TURIN CHAMPIONS Closed strongly SR H Bowman · D A Hayes 11 3.6 —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 7 ("PEACH BLOSSOM HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-02-22 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. ALL'S WELL, ridden by D B McMonagle and trained by C H Yip, won, with YODA'S CHOICE second and BIG RETURN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.6 favourite TURIN CHAMPIONS did not finish.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. ALL'S WELL—2. YODA'S CHOICE+3L3. BIG RETURN+3.25L4. BRIGHT DAY+3.5L5. FORERUNNER+3.5L6. JOLLY BRILLIANT+4L7. HAPPYDEARHAPPYDEER+4.25L8. WIN METHOD+4.5L9. APOLAR FIGHTER+6.5L10. PERIDOT+7L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick JOLLY BRILLIANT (19.1%) finished 6th — the winner ALL'S WELL was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 6 JOLLY BRILLIANT 19.1% 5.23 6
2 3 ALL'S WELL 16.5% 6.06 1
3 2 MABUBU 11.4% 8.78 12
4 9 BIG RETURN 9.9% 10.07 3
5 8 TOP PEAK 8.4% 11.94 11
6 12 PERIDOT 6.3% 15.77 10
7 14 HAPPYDEARHAPPYDEER 5.8% 17.34 7
8 13 YODA'S CHOICE 5.6% 17.78 2
9 11 APOLAR FIGHTER 4.8% 20.93 9
10 5 FUN TOGETHER 3.7% 26.81 13
11 4 BRIGHT DAY 3.1% 32.33 4
12 10 WIN METHOD 2.7% 37.16 8
13 7 FORERUNNER 2.7% 37.37 5
JOLLY BRILLIANTALL'S WELL — wonMABUBUBIG RETURNTOP PEAKPERIDOTHAPPYDEARHAPPYDEERYODA'S CHOICEAPOLAR FIGHTERFUN TOGETHERBRIGHT DAYWIN METHODFORERUNNER

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

3 47.5

PLACE

3 18

9 39

13 66.5

QUINELLA

3,13 573.5

QUINELLA PLACE

3,9 117

3,13 200.5

9,13 530

FORECAST

3,13 969

TIERCE

3,13,9 13,531

TRIO

3,9,13 2,579

FIRST 4

3,4,9,13 26,543

QUARTET

3,13,9,4 474,453

All pools (3 more)

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

1,4,14/3,9,13 71,396

6TH DOUBLE

4/3 232

4/13 280

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

1,3,11/1,4,14/Any Combination 951