Sha Tin · 2026-02-22 · 08:00

PEACH BLOSSOM HANDICAP

Race 7

Class 4 GOOD 1400m Course A+3 14 runners

Race 7 ("PEACH BLOSSOM HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-02-22 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. ALL'S WELL, ridden by D B McMonagle and trained by C H Yip, won, with YODA'S CHOICE second and BIG RETURN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.6 favourite TURIN CHAMPIONS did not finish.

Track detail

Penetrometer 2.7199999999999998

Result

Official · 1:21.51

Pos	No.	Horse	Jockey	Trainer	Draw	Weight	Odds	Margin
1	3	ALL'S WELL Closed strongly H-/TT 1:21.51 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) D B McMonagle · C H Yip	D B McMonagle	C H Yip	4	131 lb	4.7	—
2	13	YODA'S CHOICE CP/TT M L Yeung · P C Ng	M L Yeung	P C Ng	5	119 lb	26.0	3
3	9	BIG RETURN Closed strongly H/TT M Guyon · J Richards	M Guyon	J Richards	7	122 lb	14.0	3-1/4
4	4	BRIGHT DAY V/TT K C Leung · K L Man	K C Leung	K L Man	14	130 lb	53.0	3-1/2
5	7	FORERUNNER TT A Badel · W K Mo	A Badel	W K Mo	10	124 lb	50.0	3-1/2
6	6	JOLLY BRILLIANT Closed strongly B M Chadwick · P F Yiu	M Chadwick	P F Yiu	6	126 lb	6.2	4
7	14	HAPPYDEARHAPPYDEER Closed strongly B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz	Y L Chung	A S Cruz	8	113 lb	38.0	4-1/4
8	10	WIN METHOD Closed strongly B/TT H Bentley · C S Shum	H Bentley	C S Shum	12	122 lb	81.0	4-1/2
9	11	APOLAR FIGHTER B/TT R Kingscote · D Eustace	R Kingscote	D Eustace	3	120 lb	76.0	6-1/2
10	12	PERIDOT M F Poon · D J Hall	M F Poon	D J Hall	13	120 lb	16.0	7
11	8	TOP PEAK XB K Teetan · B Crawford	K Teetan	B Crawford	2	123 lb	5.9	8-3/4
12	2	MABUBU Led early TT C Y Ho · W Y So	C Y Ho	W Y So	1	134 lb	8.8	9-3/4
13	5	FUN TOGETHER CP/TT C L Chau · C W Chang	C L Chau	C W Chang	9	128 lb	39.0	10-1/4
—	0	PRINCE ALEX CP/XB/TT · D J Whyte	—	D J Whyte	—	118 lb	—	—
—	0	INVICTUS DRAGON · K W Lui	—	K W Lui	—	123 lb	—	—
DISQ	1	TURIN CHAMPIONS Closed strongly SR H Bowman · D A Hayes	H Bowman	D A Hayes	11	135 lb	3.6	—

Race shape

Beaten lengths

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26

The model's top pick JOLLY BRILLIANT (19.1%) finished 6th — the winner ALL'S WELL was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.

Rank	No.	Horse	Win %	Rated price	Pos	Final odds
1	6	JOLLY BRILLIANT	19.1%	5.23	6	6.2
2	3	ALL'S WELL	16.5%	6.06	1	4.7
3	2	MABUBU	11.4%	8.78	12	8.8
4	9	BIG RETURN	9.9%	10.07	3	14.0
5	8	TOP PEAK	8.4%	11.94	11	5.9
6	12	PERIDOT	6.3%	15.77	10	16.0
7	14	HAPPYDEARHAPPYDEER	5.8%	17.34	7	38.0
8	13	YODA'S CHOICE	5.6%	17.78	2	26.0
9	11	APOLAR FIGHTER	4.8%	20.93	9	76.0
10	5	FUN TOGETHER	3.7%	26.81	13	39.0
11	4	BRIGHT DAY	3.1%	32.33	4	53.0
12	10	WIN METHOD	2.7%	37.16	8	81.0
13	7	FORERUNNER	2.7%	37.37	5	50.0

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

3 47.5

PLACE

3 18

9 39

13 66.5

QUINELLA

3,13 573.5

QUINELLA PLACE

3,9 117

3,13 200.5

9,13 530

FORECAST

3,13 969

TIERCE

3,13,9 13,531

TRIO

3,9,13 2,579

FIRST 4

3,4,9,13 26,543

QUARTET

3,13,9,4 474,453

All pools (3 more)

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

1,4,14/3,9,13 71,396

6TH DOUBLE

4/3 232

4/13 280

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

1,3,11/1,4,14/Any Combination 951

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