沙田 · 2026-02-22 · 08:00
PEACH BLOSSOM HANDICAP
第 7場
2026-02-22沙田第7場「PEACH BLOSSOM HANDICAP」，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由D B McMonagle策騎、C H Yip訓練的ALL'S WELL勝出。YODA'S CHOICE獲得亞軍；BIG RETURN獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.6倍大熱門TURIN CHAMPIONS未能完成賽事。
場地詳情
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | ALL'S WELL 後段發力 H-/TT 1:21.51 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） D B McMonagle · C H Yip | D B McMonagle | C H Yip | 4 | 4.7 | — |
| 2 | 13 | YODA'S CHOICE CP/TT M L Yeung · P C Ng | M L Yeung | P C Ng | 5 | 26.0 | 3 |
| 3 | 9 | BIG RETURN 後段發力 H/TT M Guyon · J Richards | M Guyon | J Richards | 7 | 14.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 4 | BRIGHT DAY V/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 14 | 53.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 7 | FORERUNNER TT A Badel · W K Mo | A Badel | W K Mo | 10 | 50.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 6 | JOLLY BRILLIANT 後段發力 B M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 6 | 6.2 | 4 |
| 7 | 14 | HAPPYDEARHAPPYDEER 後段發力 B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 8 | 38.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 10 | WIN METHOD 後段發力 B/TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 12 | 81.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 11 | APOLAR FIGHTER B/TT R Kingscote · D Eustace | R Kingscote | D Eustace | 3 | 76.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 12 | PERIDOT M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 13 | 16.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 8 | TOP PEAK XB K Teetan · B Crawford | K Teetan | B Crawford | 2 | 5.9 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 2 | MABUBU 早段領放 TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 1 | 8.8 | 9-3/4 |
| 13 | 5 | FUN TOGETHER CP/TT C L Chau · C W Chang | C L Chau | C W Chang | 9 | 39.0 | 10-1/4 |
| — | 0 | PRINCE ALEX CP/XB/TT · D J Whyte | — | D J Whyte | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | INVICTUS DRAGON · K W Lui | — | K W Lui | — | — | — |
| DISQ | 1 | TURIN CHAMPIONS 後段發力 SR H Bowman · D A Hayes | H Bowman | D A Hayes | 11 | 3.6 | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | JOLLY BRILLIANT | 19.1% | 5.23 | 6 |
| 2 | 3 | ALL'S WELL | 16.5% | 6.06 | 1 |
| 3 | 2 | MABUBU | 11.4% | 8.78 | 12 |
| 4 | 9 | BIG RETURN | 9.9% | 10.07 | 3 |
| 5 | 8 | TOP PEAK | 8.4% | 11.94 | 11 |
| 6 | 12 | PERIDOT | 6.3% | 15.77 | 10 |
| 7 | 14 | HAPPYDEARHAPPYDEER | 5.8% | 17.34 | 7 |
| 8 | 13 | YODA'S CHOICE | 5.6% | 17.78 | 2 |
| 9 | 11 | APOLAR FIGHTER | 4.8% | 20.93 | 9 |
| 10 | 5 | FUN TOGETHER | 3.7% | 26.81 | 13 |
| 11 | 4 | BRIGHT DAY | 3.1% | 32.33 | 4 |
| 12 | 10 | WIN METHOD | 2.7% | 37.16 | 8 |
| 13 | 7 | FORERUNNER | 2.7% | 37.37 | 5 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 47.5
PLACE
3 18
9 39
13 66.5
QUINELLA
3,13 573.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,9 117
3,13 200.5
9,13 530
FORECAST
3,13 969
TIERCE
3,13,9 13,531
TRIO
3,9,13 2,579
FIRST 4
3,4,9,13 26,543
QUARTET
3,13,9,4 474,453
全部彩池（另 3 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,4,14/3,9,13 71,396
6TH DOUBLE
4/3 232
4/13 280
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,3,11/1,4,14/Any Combination 951