沙田 · 2026-02-22 · 05:00
DAFFODIL HANDICAP
第 1場
2026-02-22沙田第1場「DAFFODIL HANDICAP」，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、K L Man訓練的ALMIGHTY LIGHTNING勝出。RUN RUN SUNRISE獲得亞軍；FUN ELITE獲得季軍。頭馬以3.0倍大熱姿態勝出。
場地詳情及賽日變動（3）
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | ALMIGHTY LIGHTNING TT1 0:55.74 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 4 | 3.0 | — |
| 2 | 9 | RUN RUN SUNRISE E1/TT1 K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 12 | 23.0 | 2 |
| 3 | 3 | FUN ELITE TT C L Chau · C W Chang | C L Chau | C W Chang | 13 | 14.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 4 | 1 | MASTER LUCKY D B McMonagle · J Size | D B McMonagle | J Size | 8 | 9.7 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 11 | LEADING DRAGON K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 11 | 18.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 6 | 2 | DRAGON HALL M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 6 | 54.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 7 | JOY STAR H T Mo · C S Shum | H T Mo | C S Shum | 7 | 27.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 10 | SHANDONG SPIRIT TT1 J Orman · P F Yiu | J Orman | P F Yiu | 3 | 37.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 12 | ABSOLUTE LUCKY TT R Kingscote · M Newnham | R Kingscote | M Newnham | 14 | 85.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 4 | SPICY SPEEDY TT1 M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 9 | 25.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 6 | HONEST WITNESS B1/TT L Ferraris · D A Hayes | L Ferraris | D A Hayes | 10 | 7.1 | 8 |
| 12 | 8 | JUMBO BLESSING TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 1 | 4.1 | 8-1/2 |
| 13 | 13 | CONSPIRATOR L Hewitson · B Crawford | L Hewitson | B Crawford | 5 | 11.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 14 | 14 | TAI VICTORY B M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 2 | 127.0 | 8-3/4 |
| — | 0 | ARGENTO OCEAN CP · D J Whyte | — | D J Whyte | — | — | — |
| WV | 2 | PACKING PHOENIX TT H Bentley · K W Lui | H Bentley | K W Lui | 6 | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | ALMIGHTY LIGHTNING | 20.3% | 4.91 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | MASTER LUCKY | 16.7% | 6.00 | 4 |
| 3 | 8 | JUMBO BLESSING | 13.7% | 7.32 | 12 |
| 4 | 6 | HONEST WITNESS | 9.5% | 10.50 | 11 |
| 5 | 3 | FUN ELITE | 6.2% | 16.25 | 3 |
| 6 | 4 | SPICY SPEEDY | 6.0% | 16.62 | 10 |
| 7 | 11 | LEADING DRAGON | 5.3% | 18.84 | 5 |
| 8 | 13 | CONSPIRATOR | 4.9% | 20.25 | 13 |
| 9 | 10 | SHANDONG SPIRIT | 4.1% | 24.36 | 8 |
| 10 | 2 | DRAGON HALL | 3.5% | 28.93 | 6 |
| 11 | 7 | JOY STAR | 3.2% | 31.15 | 7 |
| 12 | 9 | RUN RUN SUNRISE | 2.5% | 40.31 | 2 |
| 13 | 14 | TAI VICTORY | 2.2% | 46.19 | 14 |
| 14 | 12 | ABSOLUTE LUCKY | 2.0% | 50.62 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 30
PLACE
3 37.5
5 16
9 65.5
QUINELLA
5,9 428
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 93.5
3,9 425
5,9 152.5
FORECAST
5,9 684
TIERCE
5,9,3 6,947
TRIO
3,5,9 1,715
FIRST 4
1,3,5,9 3,039
QUARTET
5,9,3,1 60,359