沙田 · 2026-04-01 · 11:15
YUE WAN HANDICAP
第 2場
2026-04-01沙田第2場「YUE WAN HANDICAP」,Class 5,途程1650米,跑道評為GOOD。由L Ferraris策騎、D Eustace訓練的HAILTOTHEVICTORS勝出。MEEPMEEP獲得亞軍;VERBIER獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。5.7倍大熱門CELESTIAL HARMONY跑獲第4名。
場地詳情
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | HAILTOTHEVICTORS 後段發力 B2/TT 1:39.06 ▶ 重播 (在新分頁開啟) L Ferraris · D Eustace | L Ferraris | D Eustace | 2 | 7.0 | — |
| 2 | 10 | MEEPMEEP 後段發力 E/PC/TT H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 8 | 6.7 | HD |
| 3 | 9 | VERBIER 早段領放 B/TT J Orman · C Fownes | J Orman | C Fownes | 9 | 81.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 3 | CELESTIAL HARMONY 後段發力 XB L Hewitson · B Crawford | L Hewitson | B Crawford | 3 | 5.7 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 12 | GO GO GO 後段發力 PC/TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 12 | 13.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 11 | JOLLY JUMPER BO/SR/TT K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 6 | 15.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 4 | TELECOM POWER 後段發力 B C Y Ho · Y S Tsui | C Y Ho | Y S Tsui | 11 | 19.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 13 | PHANTOM CYCLONE 後段發力 V H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 10 | 12.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 14 | ALL EYES ON ME 後段發力 M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 4 | 12.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 7 | CONSPIRACY WITNESS 後段發力 CP1/TT B Avdulla · D A Hayes | B Avdulla | D A Hayes | 7 | 13.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 6 | HAPPYDEARHAPPYDEER V/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 5 | 5.7 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 1 | SPANGLE FORTUNE B/TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 13 | 29.0 | 8 |
| 13 | 5 | ON THE LASH B/TT A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 14 | 44.0 | 19-1/2 |
| 14 | 2 | DIRIYA TT1 Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 1 | 13.0 | 27-3/4 |
| — | 0 | WAH MAY WAI WAI · A S Cruz | — | A S Cruz | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | SPARKLE AND GOLD CP/TT · C H Yip | — | C H Yip | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | DIRIYA | 16.1% | 6.21 | 14 |
| 2 | 10 | MEEPMEEP | 11.3% | 8.83 | 2 |
| 3 | 3 | CELESTIAL HARMONY | 10.5% | 9.53 | 4 |
| 4 | 13 | PHANTOM CYCLONE | 8.8% | 11.39 | 8 |
| 5 | 4 | TELECOM POWER | 8.7% | 11.54 | 7 |
| 6 | 8 | HAILTOTHEVICTORS | 8.6% | 11.58 | 1 |
| 7 | 6 | HAPPYDEARHAPPYDEER | 7.2% | 13.93 | 11 |
| 8 | 5 | ON THE LASH | 5.9% | 16.90 | 13 |
| 9 | 12 | GO GO GO | 5.0% | 20.11 | 5 |
| 10 | 9 | VERBIER | 4.0% | 24.96 | 3 |
| 11 | 7 | CONSPIRACY WITNESS | 3.9% | 25.74 | 10 |
| 12 | 11 | JOLLY JUMPER | 3.7% | 26.75 | 6 |
| 13 | 1 | SPANGLE FORTUNE | 3.2% | 31.46 | 12 |
| 14 | 14 | ALL EYES ON ME | 3.1% | 32.01 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬:橫軸為模型概率,縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致;金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算,並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 70.5
PLACE
8 22.5
9 219.5
10 21
QUINELLA
8,10 269.5
QUINELLA PLACE
8,9 1,139
8,10 92.5
9,10 786.5
FORECAST
8,10 522
TIERCE
8,10,9 36,205
TRIO
8,9,10 6,792
FIRST 4
3,8,9,10 7,815
QUARTET
8,10,9,3 238,717
全部彩池(另 1 項)
1ST DOUBLE
12/8 406
12/10 43.5