沙田 · 2026-04-01 · 12:15
MA TAU WAI HANDICAP
第 4場
2026-04-01沙田第4場「MA TAU WAI HANDICAP」,Class 4,途程1200米,跑道評為GOOD。由H Y Yuen策騎、C H Yip訓練的PI LEGEND勝出。SPEEDY SMARTIE獲得亞軍;FLOWING RICHES獲得季軍。頭馬以2.4倍大熱姿態勝出。
場地詳情及賽日變動(1)
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | PI LEGEND B/TT 1:08.68 ▶ 重播 (在新分頁開啟) H Y Yuen · C H Yip | H Y Yuen | C H Yip | 12 | 2.4 | — |
| 2 | 2 | SPEEDY SMARTIE K Teetan · B Crawford | K Teetan | B Crawford | 8 | 2.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 3 | FLOWING RICHES B P N Wong · K H Ting | P N Wong | K H Ting | 3 | 9.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 6 | DAY DAY VICTORY C L Chau · C W Chang | C L Chau | C W Chang | 4 | 18.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 12 | NO OTHER CHOICE H/PC/TT A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 1 | 8.5 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 11 | SWAGGER BRO H Bentley · J Richards | H Bentley | J Richards | 6 | 14.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 10 | RISING ELITE H/CP1/TT K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 2 | 218.0 | 6 |
| 8 | 8 | STARRY SHOW CP M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 10 | 172.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 4 | KING OBERON B L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 7 | 54.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 9 | FORTUNE WHISKEY B/TT M F Poon · D Eustace | M F Poon | D Eustace | 9 | 41.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 11 | 5 | LUCKY TOGETHER TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 11 | 95.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 12 | 7 | TACTICAL VICTORY B/TT H T Mo · W Y So | H T Mo | W Y So | 5 | 176.0 | 14-1/2 |
| — | 0 | STAR PERFORMER B · M Newnham | — | M Newnham | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | LUCKY FIELD B/TT · K L Man | — | K L Man | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SPEEDY SMARTIE | 27.5% | 3.64 | 2 |
| 2 | 3 | FLOWING RICHES | 19.7% | 5.08 | 3 |
| 3 | 12 | NO OTHER CHOICE | 14.8% | 6.78 | 5 |
| 4 | 1 | PI LEGEND | 11.8% | 8.47 | 1 |
| 5 | 6 | DAY DAY VICTORY | 8.7% | 11.51 | 4 |
| 6 | 11 | SWAGGER BRO | 6.0% | 16.55 | 6 |
| 7 | 9 | FORTUNE WHISKEY | 4.1% | 24.45 | 10 |
| 8 | 4 | KING OBERON | 2.6% | 38.92 | 9 |
| 9 | 8 | STARRY SHOW | 1.6% | 62.04 | 8 |
| 10 | 5 | LUCKY TOGETHER | 1.3% | 78.70 | 11 |
| 11 | 7 | TACTICAL VICTORY | 1.0% | 97.94 | 12 |
| 12 | 10 | RISING ELITE | 1.0% | 103.84 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬:橫軸為模型概率,縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致;金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算,並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 24
PLACE
1 11.5
2 12
3 24.5
QUINELLA
1,2 28
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 15.5
1,3 40
2,3 38
FORECAST
1,2 54
TIERCE
1,2,3 261
TRIO
1,2,3 77
FIRST 4
1,2,3,6 166
QUARTET
1,2,3,6 1,713
全部彩池(另 1 項)
3RD DOUBLE
12/1 366
12/2 63.5