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Sha Tin · 2026-04-01 · 12:15

MA TAU WAI HANDICAP

Race 4

Class 4 GOOD 1200m 12 runners

Race 4 ("MA TAU WAI HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-04-01 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. PI LEGEND, ridden by H Y Yuen and trained by C H Yip, won, with SPEEDY SMARTIE second and FLOWING RICHES third. Victory came as the 2.4 favourite.

Track detail & race-day changes (1)
Hammer 9.21 #10 RISING ELITE — Weight Change

Result

Official · 1:08.68
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 1 PI LEGEND B/TT 1:08.68 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Y Yuen · C H Yip 12 2.4
2 2 SPEEDY SMARTIE K Teetan · B Crawford 8 2.7 1-1/4
3 3 FLOWING RICHES B P N Wong · K H Ting 3 9.0 2-3/4
4 6 DAY DAY VICTORY C L Chau · C W Chang 4 18.0 3-1/2
5 12 NO OTHER CHOICE H/PC/TT A Badel · C Fownes 1 8.5 3-3/4
6 11 SWAGGER BRO H Bentley · J Richards 6 14.0 3-3/4
7 10 RISING ELITE H/CP1/TT K C Leung · W K Mo 2 218.0 6
8 8 STARRY SHOW CP M L Yeung · D A Hayes 10 172.0 6-1/4
9 4 KING OBERON B L Ferraris · D J Whyte 7 54.0 6-3/4
10 9 FORTUNE WHISKEY B/TT M F Poon · D Eustace 9 41.0 9-1/2
11 5 LUCKY TOGETHER TT M Chadwick · F C Lor 11 95.0 9-3/4
12 7 TACTICAL VICTORY B/TT H T Mo · W Y So 5 176.0 14-1/2
0 STAR PERFORMER B · M Newnham
0 LUCKY FIELD B/TT · K L Man

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. PI LEGEND2. SPEEDY SMARTIE+1.25L3. FLOWING RICHES+2.75L4. DAY DAY VICTORY+3.5L5. NO OTHER CHOICE+3.75L6. SWAGGER BRO+3.75L7. RISING ELITE+6L8. STARRY SHOW+6.25L9. KING OBERON+6.75L10. FORTUNE WHISKEY+9.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick SPEEDY SMARTIE (27.5%) finished 2nd — the winner PI LEGEND was rated #4. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 2 SPEEDY SMARTIE 27.5% 3.64 2
2 3 FLOWING RICHES 19.7% 5.08 3
3 12 NO OTHER CHOICE 14.8% 6.78 5
4 1 PI LEGEND 11.8% 8.47 1
5 6 DAY DAY VICTORY 8.7% 11.51 4
6 11 SWAGGER BRO 6.0% 16.55 6
7 9 FORTUNE WHISKEY 4.1% 24.45 10
8 4 KING OBERON 2.6% 38.92 9
9 8 STARRY SHOW 1.6% 62.04 8
10 5 LUCKY TOGETHER 1.3% 78.70 11
11 7 TACTICAL VICTORY 1.0% 97.94 12
12 10 RISING ELITE 1.0% 103.84 7
SPEEDY SMARTIEFLOWING RICHESNO OTHER CHOICEPI LEGEND — wonDAY DAY VICTORYSWAGGER BROFORTUNE WHISKEYKING OBERONSTARRY SHOWLUCKY TOGETHERTACTICAL VICTORYRISING ELITE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 24

PLACE

1 11.5

2 12

3 24.5

QUINELLA

1,2 28

QUINELLA PLACE

1,2 15.5

1,3 40

2,3 38

FORECAST

1,2 54

TIERCE

1,2,3 261

TRIO

1,2,3 77

FIRST 4

1,2,3,6 166

QUARTET

1,2,3,6 1,713

All pools (1 more)

3RD DOUBLE

12/1 366

12/2 63.5