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Sha Tin · 2026-04-01 · 13:45

MA TAU WAI HANDICAP

Race 7

Class 4 GOOD 1200m 12 runners

Race 7 ("MA TAU WAI HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-04-01 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. IGOR STRAVINSKY, ridden by P N Wong and trained by A S Cruz, won, with CONRAD THE GREAT second and FUN N FUN TOGETHER third. The 3.0 favourite GOOD CHAP finished 7th.

Track detail
Hammer 9.21

Result

Official · 1:09.06
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 1 IGOR STRAVINSKY V/TT 1:09.06 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) P N Wong · A S Cruz 1 10.0
2 11 CONRAD THE GREAT SR/XB/TT R Kingscote · D J Whyte 2 8.3 N
3 4 FUN N FUN TOGETHER B H Y Yuen · F C Lor 9 8.5 3/4
4 5 LIGHT YEARS GLORY CP/TT H Bowman · W K Mo 6 19.0 1-1/2
5 9 JOLLY COMPANION B/TT K C Leung · K L Man 8 33.0 2
6 3 WOLF COMING B-/XB/TT Z Purton · C S Shum 4 5.2 2-1/4
7 6 GOOD CHAP B A Atzeni · D J Hall 5 3.0 3-1/4
8 12 SHINYU KOKOROE CP K Teetan · B Crawford 11 54.0 3-1/4
9 2 NOTTHESILLYONE TT L Ferraris · M Newnham 3 10.0 4
10 10 MALPENSA XB/P1/TT J Orman · W Y So 12 10.0 4-1/4
11 7 LEAPING STAR CP1 M L Yeung · D A Hayes 7 158.0 5
12 8 BLASTED TALENT TT E C W Wong · C Fownes 10 15.0 5
0 FULL OF LAUGHTER SR/TT · C W Chang
0 IGOT TT · C H Yip

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. IGOR STRAVINSKY2. CONRAD THE GREAT+0.05L3. FUN N FUN TOGETHER+0.75L4. LIGHT YEARS GLORY+1.5L5. JOLLY COMPANION+2L6. WOLF COMING+2.25L7. GOOD CHAP+3.25L8. SHINYU KOKOROE+3.25L9. NOTTHESILLYONE+4L10. MALPENSA+4.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick GOOD CHAP (33.3%) finished 7th — the winner IGOR STRAVINSKY was rated #4. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 6 GOOD CHAP 33.3% 3.00 7
2 11 CONRAD THE GREAT 12.6% 7.95 2
3 2 NOTTHESILLYONE 11.0% 9.07 9
4 1 IGOR STRAVINSKY 8.2% 12.14 1
5 3 WOLF COMING 7.3% 13.74 6
6 10 MALPENSA 7.0% 14.25 10
7 5 LIGHT YEARS GLORY 6.2% 16.04 4
8 8 BLASTED TALENT 3.6% 27.88 12
9 4 FUN N FUN TOGETHER 3.5% 28.71 3
10 12 SHINYU KOKOROE 3.4% 29.71 8
11 9 JOLLY COMPANION 2.8% 35.15 5
12 7 LEAPING STAR 1.0% 98.49 11
GOOD CHAPCONRAD THE GREATNOTTHESILLYONEIGOR STRAVINSKY — wonWOLF COMINGMALPENSALIGHT YEARS GLORYBLASTED TALENTFUN N FUN TOGETHERSHINYU KOKOROEJOLLY COMPANIONLEAPING STAR

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 103

PLACE

1 31.5

4 27

11 19.5

QUINELLA

1,11 430.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,4 140.5

1,11 122

4,11 143

FORECAST

1,11 962

TIERCE

1,11,4 7,918

TRIO

1,4,11 1,259

FIRST 4

1,4,5,11 3,231

QUARTET

1,11,4,5 66,177

All pools (4 more)

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

1,7,9/1,4,11 142,711

6TH DOUBLE

7/1 2,478

7/11 314.5

TRIPLE TRIO

5,7,11/1,7,9/1,4,11 5,104,857

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

5,7,11/1,7,9/Any Combination 24,036