Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2026-04-01 · 13:15

MA TAU WAI HANDICAP

Race 6

Class 4 GOOD 1200m 12 runners

Race 6 ("MA TAU WAI HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-04-01 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. NATURAL HIGH, ridden by C L Chau and trained by C H Yip, won, with JUICY DRAGON second and TOURBILLON GOLFER third. The 3.5 favourite ONE MAN SHOW finished 5th.

Track detail
Hammer 9.21

Result

Official · 1:08.91
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 7 NATURAL HIGH B-/V1 1:08.91 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · C H Yip 4 18.0
2 9 JUICY DRAGON V A Atzeni · K L Man 12 4.8 N
3 1 TOURBILLON GOLFER TT H Y Yuen · P F Yiu 1 5.9 1-1/4
4 4 JUSTIFYING B-/H-/TT J Orman · C Fownes 9 6.8 3-1/4
5 3 ONE MAN SHOW XB Z Purton · F C Lor 2 3.5 3-1/2
6 8 ACE POWER B2 L Ferraris · M Newnham 7 7.8 3-1/2
7 10 SAVVY WARRIOR XB/TT C Y Ho · D Eustace 5 53.0 4-1/2
8 5 FUN ELITE TT H Bowman · C W Chang 6 13.0 5
9 2 NEVER TOO SOON B B Avdulla · D J Hall 11 30.0 5-1/4
10 12 YEE CHEONG SPIRIT XB-/B/TT L Hewitson · C S Shum 10 22.0 5-1/4
11 6 KOL M L Yeung · D A Hayes 3 20.0 5-1/4
12 11 HAPPY ALLIANCE XB A Badel · K W Lui 8 163.0 8-3/4
0 CONSPIRATOR · B Crawford
0 FIND MY LOVE B/TT · D J Whyte

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. NATURAL HIGH2. JUICY DRAGON+0.05L3. TOURBILLON GOLFER+1.25L4. JUSTIFYING+3.25L5. ONE MAN SHOW+3.5L6. ACE POWER+3.5L7. SAVVY WARRIOR+4.5L8. FUN ELITE+5L9. NEVER TOO SOON+5.25L10. YEE CHEONG SPIRIT+5.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick JUICY DRAGON (22.5%) finished 2nd — the winner NATURAL HIGH was rated #8. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 9 JUICY DRAGON 22.5% 4.44 2
2 3 ONE MAN SHOW 22.3% 4.48 5
3 1 TOURBILLON GOLFER 14.8% 6.76 3
4 8 ACE POWER 9.1% 10.93 6
5 6 KOL 7.4% 13.47 11
6 5 FUN ELITE 6.0% 16.79 8
7 4 JUSTIFYING 4.4% 22.89 4
8 7 NATURAL HIGH 4.0% 25.08 1
9 2 NEVER TOO SOON 3.3% 30.12 9
10 10 SAVVY WARRIOR 2.5% 40.27 7
11 12 YEE CHEONG SPIRIT 2.2% 45.25 10
12 11 HAPPY ALLIANCE 1.5% 66.68 12
JUICY DRAGONONE MAN SHOWTOURBILLON GOLFERACE POWERKOLFUN ELITEJUSTIFYINGNATURAL HIGH — wonNEVER TOO SOONSAVVY WARRIORYEE CHEONG SPIRITHAPPY ALLIANCE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

7 183

PLACE

1 20

7 55

9 16.5

QUINELLA

7,9 666

QUINELLA PLACE

1,7 196

1,9 65.5

7,9 181.5

FORECAST

7,9 1,608

TIERCE

7,9,1 9,420

TRIO

1,7,9 1,249

FIRST 4

1,4,7,9 2,070

QUARTET

7,9,1,4 72,915

All pools (1 more)

5TH DOUBLE

5/7 1,480

5/9 82.5