Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2026-04-01 · 11:45

NAM SHAN HANDICAP

Race 3

Class 4 GOOD 1650m 14 runners

Race 3 ("NAM SHAN HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-04-01 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. LESLIE, ridden by R Kingscote and trained by C W Chang, won, with SUPREME AGILITY second and HINOKAMI KAGURA third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.2 favourite NEVER PETER OUT finished 5th.

Track detail
Hammer 9.21

Result

Official · 1:38.63
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 12 LESLIE Closed strongly B 1:38.63 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) R Kingscote · C W Chang 6 11.0
2 1 SUPREME AGILITY Closed strongly TT C L Chau · P C Ng 4 14.0 3/4
3 7 HINOKAMI KAGURA BO M Chadwick · W Y So 9 51.0 3/4
4 10 BULL ATTITUDE Closed strongly B L Hewitson · M Newnham 13 8.8 3/4
5 4 NEVER PETER OUT V/TT Z Purton · F C Lor 1 2.2 1
6 13 NIGHT PUROSANGUE Closed strongly P Y L Chung · Y S Tsui 12 10.0 1-3/4
7 9 FASHION LEGEND Closed strongly TT L Ferraris · D Eustace 14 42.0 2-3/4
8 8 DAILY TROPHY TT J Orman · C Fownes 7 41.0 3
9 6 BLOSSOMY B M F Poon · K L Man 2 23.0 3
10 11 LAKESHORE HERO A Atzeni · D J Hall 10 49.0 3
11 14 FOREMOST TEDDY B/TT K Teetan · C S Shum 11 6.2 3-1/4
12 3 GOOD LUCK BABE Led early B/TT H Bowman · A S Cruz 3 10.0 5
13 2 COLOURFUL GAN CP-/SR-/B2 B Avdulla · D J Whyte 5 112.0 8
14 5 NOVA KNIGHT B M L Yeung · D A Hayes 8 161.0 21-1/4
0 CAN'T GO WONG B/TT · F C Lor
0 KYRUS TREASURE CP/TT- · D Eustace

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. LESLIE2. SUPREME AGILITY+0.75L3. HINOKAMI KAGURA+0.75L4. BULL ATTITUDE+0.75L5. NEVER PETER OUT+1L6. NIGHT PUROSANGUE+1.75L7. FASHION LEGEND+2.75L8. DAILY TROPHY+3L9. BLOSSOMY+3L10. LAKESHORE HERO+3L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick NEVER PETER OUT (31.8%) finished 5th — the winner LESLIE was rated #9. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 4 NEVER PETER OUT 31.8% 3.15 5
2 10 BULL ATTITUDE 13.2% 7.57 4
3 1 SUPREME AGILITY 10.2% 9.84 2
4 3 GOOD LUCK BABE 8.9% 11.23 12
5 13 NIGHT PUROSANGUE 7.0% 14.34 6
6 14 FOREMOST TEDDY 6.6% 15.09 11
7 11 LAKESHORE HERO 5.2% 19.29 10
8 8 DAILY TROPHY 3.3% 30.56 8
9 12 LESLIE 3.1% 31.75 1
10 6 BLOSSOMY 2.9% 34.82 9
11 9 FASHION LEGEND 2.7% 37.52 7
12 7 HINOKAMI KAGURA 2.1% 47.43 3
13 2 COLOURFUL GAN 1.9% 51.56 13
14 5 NOVA KNIGHT 1.1% 87.71 14
NEVER PETER OUTBULL ATTITUDESUPREME AGILITYGOOD LUCK BABENIGHT PUROSANGUEFOREMOST TEDDYLAKESHORE HERODAILY TROPHYLESLIE — wonBLOSSOMYFASHION LEGENDHINOKAMI KAGURACOLOURFUL GANNOVA KNIGHT

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

12 119

PLACE

1 33.5

7 138

12 30

QUINELLA

1,12 701

QUINELLA PLACE

1,7 989.5

1,12 200

7,12 874.5

FORECAST

12,1 1,357

TIERCE

12,1,7 37,913

TRIO

1,7,12 7,685

FIRST 4

1,7,10,12 19,918

QUARTET

12,1,7,10 453,143

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE TRIO

8,9,10/F 3,762

2ND DOUBLE

8/1 186

8/12 741