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Sha Tin · 2026-04-01 · 10:45

SHEK KIP MEI HANDICAP

Race 1

Class 5 GOOD 1200m 12 runners

Race 1 ("SHEK KIP MEI HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-04-01 was Class 5 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. VIVA CHALEUR, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by A S Cruz, won, with MACANESE MASTER second and NOBLE DELUXE third. The 3.6 favourite ONLY U finished 10th.

Track detail
Hammer 9.21

Result

Official · 1:08.88
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 12 VIVA CHALEUR B/TT 1:08.88 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · A S Cruz 7 3.7
2 6 MACANESE MASTER V Y L Chung · Y S Tsui 8 11.0 3
3 5 NOBLE DELUXE H/P/TT K Teetan · J Size 1 14.0 3
4 9 DOUBLE BINGO P- H Y Yuen · P F Yiu 9 8.9 3-3/4
5 1 SUPERB GUY CP/XB J Orman · K W Lui 11 16.0 4-3/4
6 8 TRIUMPHANT WARRIOR B/TT C Y Ho · J Richards 10 8.0 6
7 10 CHEER FOR SOUTH PC M F Poon · F C Lor 5 9.8 7-1/4
8 11 TAIHANG SCENERY H2/TT E C W Wong · C S Shum 6 17.0 7-3/4
9 4 ISLAND BREEZES B/TT C L Chau · P C Ng 12 47.0 8-1/2
10 3 ONLY U V/XB Z Purton · B Crawford 3 3.6 11-3/4
11 2 TAI VICTORY B K C Leung · K H Ting 4 63.0 12-3/4
12 7 RACINGRACE B1/TT L Hewitson · D J Hall 2 41.0 24-3/4
0 GLORY CLOUD TT · C Fownes
0 LEGENDARY IMPACT B-/CP2/TT · W K Mo

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. VIVA CHALEUR2. MACANESE MASTER+3L3. NOBLE DELUXE+3L4. DOUBLE BINGO+3.75L5. SUPERB GUY+4.75L6. TRIUMPHANT WARRIOR+6L7. CHEER FOR SOUTH+7.25L8. TAIHANG SCENERY+7.75L9. ISLAND BREEZES+8.5L10. ONLY U+11.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick ONLY U (35.4%) finished 10th — the winner VIVA CHALEUR was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 3 ONLY U 35.4% 2.83 10
2 6 MACANESE MASTER 15.7% 6.35 2
3 12 VIVA CHALEUR 6.9% 14.59 1
4 11 TAIHANG SCENERY 6.5% 15.47 8
5 10 CHEER FOR SOUTH 6.3% 15.97 7
6 9 DOUBLE BINGO 5.4% 18.54 4
7 8 TRIUMPHANT WARRIOR 5.2% 19.12 6
8 5 NOBLE DELUXE 4.8% 20.64 3
9 4 ISLAND BREEZES 4.8% 20.92 9
10 1 SUPERB GUY 4.5% 22.11 5
11 7 RACINGRACE 2.4% 42.54 12
12 2 TAI VICTORY 2.2% 45.88 11
ONLY UMACANESE MASTERVIVA CHALEUR — wonTAIHANG SCENERYCHEER FOR SOUTHDOUBLE BINGOTRIUMPHANT WARRIORNOBLE DELUXEISLAND BREEZESSUPERB GUYRACINGRACETAI VICTORY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

12 37.5

PLACE

5 43.5

6 29

12 15.5

QUINELLA

6,12 283

QUINELLA PLACE

5,6 153.5

5,12 102.5

6,12 98

FORECAST

12,6 442

TIERCE

12,6,5 4,297

TRIO

5,6,12 992

FIRST 4

5,6,9,12 1,205

QUARTET

12,6,5,9 23,237